Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Alector Inc
Alector, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, develops therapies to counteract the progression of neurodegeneration in the United States. Its pipeline includes Nivisnebart, an investigational human recombinant monoclonal antibody for treating prevalent neurodegenerative diseases; AL137, an anti-amyloid beta antibody paired in preclinical development for the potential treatment of Alzheimer's disease; and AL050, a GCase enzyme replacement… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: February 7, 2019
Headquarters: 131 Oyster Point Boulevard, South San Francisco, CA, United States, 94080
Founder-Led: Yes — Arnon Rosenthal (Co-Founder, CEO & Director)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$2.21
Market Cap
$235M
Float
94.1M
Shares Outstanding
111.0M
P/E (Forward)
8.47
Price/Sales (TTM)
12.78
vs. Analyst Target
+40.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)
-2382.31%
Revenue (TTM)
$18.4M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-86.30%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$3.10 (9 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$21.1M
-$183M
$21.1M
-$188M
2021
$207M
-$28.0M
$207M
-$29.0M
2022
$134M
-$133M
$134M
-$129M
2023
$97.1M
-$130M
$88.2M
-$143M
2024
$101M
-$119M
$101M
-$136M
2025
$21.0M
-$143M
$11.4M
-$133M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$7.9M
-$30.5M
Sep 2025
$3.3M
-$34.7M
Dec 2025
$6.2M
-$37.3M
Mar 2026
$1.0M
-$22.9M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
9.6%
Institutional Ownership
84.1%
Short Float
5.3%
% of All Funds Holding
1.52%
Number of Funds Holding
125
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$2.29
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$2.09
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$1.88
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$4.88
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$2.07
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$2.00
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$4.04
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$2.80
resistance
3.91x
6 months ago
$5.00
resistance
2.11x
17 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.83%
-0.99%
33.33%
12.02%
-52.02%
1 Day
0.32%
-0.37%
50.00%
47.26%
-49.84%
1 Week
-2.70%
-3.48%
33.33%
54.11%
-51.71%
2 Weeks
-2.34%
-3.16%
46.67%
72.60%
-60.90%
1 Month
0.61%
0.58%
51.72%
94.52%
-61.37%
Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
4.2%
42.9%
7
Feb
6.8%
42.9%
7
Mar
-11.7%
12.5%
8
Apr
-3.6%
50.0%
8
May
3.1%
42.9%
7
Jun
-0.4%
57.1%
7
Jul
6.3%
85.7%
7
Aug
-0.1%
42.9%
7
Sep
-3.1%
28.6%
7
Oct
-9.4%
28.6%
7
Nov
-2.2%
42.9%
7
Dec
7.7%
57.1%
7
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.14%
50.4%
343
Tuesday
0.13%
50.5%
380
Wednesday
-0.19%
51.5%
375
Thursday
-0.38%
47.1%
367
Friday
0.69%
49.2%
368
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 84.1%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 9.6%
Founder-led management: Arnon Rosenthal (Co-Founder, CEO & Director)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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