AEON — AEON Biopharma, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About AEON Biopharma, Inc.

AEON Biopharma, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing botulinum toxins. It develops ABP-450 (prabotulinumtoxinA) injection for debilitating medical conditions, which completed Phase 2 study for the treatment of cervical dystonia and has an ongoing Phase 2 study for the treatment of chronic and episodic migraine. It also develops ABP-450 for the treatment of gastroparesis and post-traumatic stress disorder. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$0.78
Market Cap$22.4M
Float11.7M
Shares Outstanding26.3M
P/E (Forward)1.16
Price/Sales (TTM)97.16
vs. Analyst Target+759.0% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.70 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.5M -$32.9M $2.5M -$15.5M
2021 N/A -$55.6M N/A -$36.9M
2022 N/A -$52.6M N/A -$48.4M
2023 N/A -$385M N/A -$52.7M
2024 N/A $42.0M N/A -$27.7M
2025 N/A -$39.2M -$78,000 -$16.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$6.6M
Sep 2025 N/A -$4.5M
Dec 2025 N/A -$37.1M
Mar 2026 N/A -$11.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership85.4%
Institutional Ownership7.5%
Short Float1.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.26%
Number of Funds Holding21

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$0.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.95Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.93Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.33Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$230.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.50 support 1.52x 11 months ago
$8.40 resistance 4.96x 14 months ago
$37.90 resistance 8.84x 15 months ago
$277.00 resistance 2.39x 23 months ago
$536.00 resistance 1.02x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.38% -0.73% 30.77% 21.21% -35.78%
1 Day -4.08% -3.07% 15.38% 16.11% -35.95%
1 Week -4.56% -4.37% 30.77% 22.09% -26.29%
2 Weeks -7.58% -10.08% 25.00% 33.66% -41.16%
1 Month -4.93% -5.36% 33.33% 53.61% -69.22%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 49.1% 159
Tuesday -0.80% 39.1% 174
Wednesday 0.12% 42.8% 173
Thursday -0.77% 38.1% 168
Friday -0.20% 48.0% 171

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 7.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 85.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AEON Biopharma, Inc. (AEON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AEON on Trend Edge →