ABVX — Abivax SA American Depositary Shares

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Abivax SA American Depositary Shares

ABIVAX Société Anonyme, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapeutics that harness the body's natural regulatory mechanisms to stabilize the immune response in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases. Its lead drug candidate includes obefazimod, which is in Phase 3 clinical development for the treatment of moderately to severely active UC, as well as Phase 2b clinical trials for Crohn's disease. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$121.99
Market Cap$9.83B
Float64.6M
Shares Outstanding79.3M
Price/Sales (TTM)2,151.97
vs. Analyst Target+27.2% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-3743.37%
Revenue (TTM)$4.6M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$155.20 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $63,000 -$37.6M -$33.8M -$38.0M
2021 $37,000 -$42.5M -$119,000 -$38.6M
2022 $4.6M -$60.7M -$50.8M -$53.3M
2023 $4.6M -$148M $4.6M -$133M
2024 $10.8M -$176M $10.8M -$163M
2025 N/A -$336M -$1.0M -$301M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 N/A -$52.4M
Jun 2025 $2.0M -$48.4M
Sep 2025 N/A -$153M
Dec 2025 -$2.0M -$288M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership71.2%
Short Float3.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.77%
Number of Funds Holding228

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$117.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$110.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$61.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$111.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$62.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$136.00 resistance 1.42x 3 months ago
$102.00 support 1.40x 5 months ago
$84.00 support 1.59x 6 months ago
$7.90 support 6.40x 9 months ago
$6.20 support 1.47x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (10 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.35% -0.38% 40.00% 2.36% -4.16%
1 Day 0.85% -0.75% 30.00% 21.89% -5.88%
1 Week -0.05% -3.68% 40.00% 23.94% -20.08%
2 Weeks -3.60% -1.08% 50.00% 14.37% -29.85%
1 Month -0.93% 0.74% 60.00% 25.20% -25.25%

Next earnings: August 10, 2026 (75 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.19% 47.2% 123
Tuesday 0.21% 44.8% 134
Wednesday 4.92% 52.7% 131
Thursday 0.33% 51.6% 126
Friday 0.03% 47.7% 130

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 71.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Abivax SA American Depositary Shares (ABVX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ABVX on Trend Edge →