AARD — Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock

Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing small-molecule therapeutics to activate innate homeostatic pathways for the treatment of metabolic diseases. Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in San Diego, California. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.20
Market Cap$98.4M
Float10.9M
Shares Outstanding21.8M
vs. Analyst Target+267.7% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$15.44 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 N/A -$13.6M -$110,000 -$10.8M
2023 N/A -$7.2M -$97,000 -$6.7M
2024 N/A -$20.6M -$16,000 -$22.7M
2025 N/A -$57.6M -$36,000 -$62.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$14.4M
Sep 2025 N/A -$16.3M
Dec 2025 N/A -$17.6M
Mar 2026 N/A -$21.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership16.1%
Institutional Ownership56.4%
Short Float11.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.84%
Number of Funds Holding69

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.66Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.43Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.90 resistance 2.97x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (6 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.92% -0.86% 33.33% 20.71% -4.60%
1 Day -0.64% -1.16% 50.00% 10.39% -8.66%
1 Week -6.82% -10.19% 16.67% 14.53% -18.39%
2 Weeks -5.58% -7.83% 33.33% 19.45% -24.20%
1 Month 29.23% 28.95% 80.00% 71.24% -8.39%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 56.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 16.1%

Founder-led management: Tien Lee (CEO, Secretary & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$450,312.8
Net Shares Change46,000
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lee Tien-Li Chief Executive Officer +$358,673 3 3 buy
Sun Nelson Chief Financial Officer +$91,639.8 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-12 Sun Nelson Chief Financial Officer +$43,200 Transaction at $14.40, now -70.8%
2025-12-12 Lee Tien-Li Chief Executive Officer +$101,395 Transaction at $14.48, now -71.0%
2025-09-10 Sun Nelson Chief Financial Officer +$48,439.8 Transaction at $8.07, now -48.0%
2025-09-16 Lee Tien-Li Chief Executive Officer +$96,624 Transaction at $9.66, now -56.5%
2025-09-12 Lee Tien-Li Chief Executive Officer +$160,654 Transaction at $8.03, now -47.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aardvark Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock (AARD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AARD on Trend Edge →