XZO — Exzeo Group, Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Exzeo Group, Inc.

Exzeo Group, Inc. provides turnkey insurance technology and operations solutions to insurance carriers and agents. The company offers an Insurance-as-a-Service (IaaS) platform that provides solutions for operational and administrative activities, such as quoting and underwriting, policy management, claims processing management, data reporting, and financial reporting. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.47
Market Cap$1.18B
Float12.5M
Shares Outstanding90.9M
P/E (TTM)13.76
Price/Sales (TTM)5.19
Profit Margin37.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.53%
Revenue (TTM)$227M
Earnings Growth (YoY)1.40%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2019 $21.3M -$6.9M $5.9M -$1.1M
2020 $51.7M -$12.4M $2.1M -$7.6M
2022 $45.6M -$54.7M -$26.3M -$36.1M
2023 $88.3M $20.8M $17.0M $4.8M
2024 $134M $44.1M $52.9M $40.4M
2025 $217M $82.7M $128M $113M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $108M $39.6M
Sep 2025 $55.2M $21.2M
Dec 2025 $53.3M $22.0M
Mar 2026 $55.5M $20.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership86.2%
Institutional Ownership8.1%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.67%
Number of Funds Holding55

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$0.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$0.00Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 2.24% 75.00% 5.15% -8.80%
1 Day -1.04% 2.21% 50.00% 10.72% -19.28%
1 Week -7.24% -8.01% 50.00% 8.72% -21.66%
2 Weeks -4.07% -8.20% 25.00% 25.26% -25.13%
1 Month 3.72% 2.89% 66.67% 20.21% -11.93%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (69 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 8.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 86.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings58
Net Value+$3.1M
Net Shares Change217,258
% of Float1.7%
C-Suite Filings52
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Patel Paresh Chief Executive Officer +$1.1M 1 1 buy
Mitchell Kevin Andrew President +$265,945.8 2 2 buy
Baker Brook Armstrong General Counsel +$161,907.92 3 3 buy
Bulku Suela Chief Financial Officer +$140,907.92 2 2 buy
Macchiarola James J +$60,480 1 1 buy
Lopes Robert A. Jr. +$38,375 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-07 – 2025-11-07 8 8 +$1.9M 4 C-suite
2025-12-09 – 2025-12-22 4 3 +$505,761.64 4 C-suite
2026-03-10 – 2026-03-24 5 3 +$284,374.8 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-24 Macchiarola James J +$60,480 Transaction at $15.12, now -10.9%
2026-03-10 Lopes Robert A. Jr. +$38,375 Transaction at $15.35, now -12.2%
2025-12-22 Baker Brook Armstrong General Counsel +$119,907.92 Transaction at $19.58, now -31.2%
2025-12-22 Mitchell Kevin Andrew President +$244,945.8 Transaction at $19.58, now -31.2%
2025-12-22 Bulku Suela Chief Financial Officer +$119,907.92 Transaction at $19.58, now -31.2%
2025-12-09 Baker Brook Armstrong General Counsel +$21,000 Transaction at $21.00, now -35.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Exzeo Group, Inc. (XZO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XZO on Trend Edge →