HIG — Hartford Financial Services Group

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HIG Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 28, actionability 37. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction28
Actionability37 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Hartford Financial Services Group

The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and financial services to individual and business customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Business Insurance, Personal Insurance, Property & Casualty Other Operations, Employee Benefits and Hartford Funds. The company offers insurance coverage, including workers' compensation, property, automobile, general an… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$129.11
Market Cap$35.07B
Float269.6M
Shares Outstanding270.9M
P/E (Forward)9.22
P/E (TTM)9.16
Price/Sales (TTM)1.20
vs. Analyst Target+14.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.62%
Revenue (TTM)$29.32B
Earnings Growth (YoY)36.10%
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$148.00 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $20.32B $1.74B $2.33B $2.68B
2021 $21.65B $2.37B $2.47B $3.58B
2022 $21.85B $1.82B $2.05B $2.89B
2023 $24.33B $2.50B $3.17B $3.60B
2024 $26.38B $3.11B $3.97B $4.21B
2025 $28.26B $3.84B $13.02B $5.36B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $7.23B $1.08B
Dec 2025 $7.31B $1.13B
Mar 2026 $7.23B $856M
Jun 2026 $7.26B $1.30B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership96.2%
Short Float1.5%
% of All Funds Holding13.52%
Number of Funds Holding1,189

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$134.20Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$135.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$131.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$107.53Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$133.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$131.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$114.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$137.00 resistance 1.08x 0 months ago
$122.00 support 1.06x 16 months ago
$111.00 support 1.10x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.03% 51.64% 6.28% -20.48%
1 Day 0.27% 0.46% 55.74% 13.57% -15.97%
1 Week 1.38% 0.80% 56.56% 58.33% -17.43%
2 Weeks 1.15% 1.46% 61.48% 31.35% -55.73%
1 Month 1.27% 2.38% 63.64% 58.56% -64.08%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (15 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.0%51.6%31
Feb-0.8%71.0%31
Mar4.1%58.1%31
Apr3.6%64.5%31
May1.9%61.3%31
Jun-1.2%48.4%31
Jul1.5%48.4%31
Aug-0.8%35.5%31
Sep-0.4%61.3%31
Oct0.3%63.3%30
Nov2.7%60.0%30
Dec4.4%56.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 51.4% 1457
Tuesday 0.08% 50.7% 1592
Wednesday 0.03% 51.5% 1590
Thursday 0.00% 51.4% 1559
Friday 0.14% 50.6% 1551

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$36.1M
Net Shares Change-1,076
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Swift Christopher Chairman and CEO -$27.0M 2 N/A
Rodden Lori A Executive Vice President -$3.8M 3 3 sell
Costello Beth Ann EVP and CFO -$3.1M 1 N/A
TOOKER ADIN M President -$1.5M 2 N/A
Niderno Allison G SVP & Controller -$151,809.571 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-12 4 3 -$3.6M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Rodden Lori A Executive Vice President -$2.7M Transaction at $104.87, now +23.1%
2026-03-05 Niderno Allison G SVP & Controller -$98,583.076 Transaction at $140.51, now -8.1%
2026-02-27 Niderno Allison G SVP & Controller -$53,226.495 Transaction at $141.97, now -9.1%
2026-02-13 Rodden Lori A Executive Vice President -$511,049.694 Transaction at $96.85, now +33.3%
2025-10-31 Rodden Lori A Executive Vice President -$553,116.686 Transaction at $87.14, now +48.2%
2026-02-04 Swift Christopher Chairman and CEO -$17.7M Transaction at $92.65, now +39.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HIG on Trend Edge →