Seasonal Tailwind — september med 2.8% (mag 2/3) · posClose 60.00% (rel 1/3) · n30 ×1 = 6.3
Hidden Gem — stWatch 613
About Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Arch Capital Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance, reinsurance, and mortgage insurance products in the United States, Canada, Bermuda, the United Kingdom, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through three segments: Insurance, Reinsurance, and Mortgage. The Insurance segment offers commercial automobile; commercial multiperil; financial and professional line liability; admitted, excess, and surplus casualty lines;… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: No
Key Metrics
Current Price
$100.56
Market Cap
$33.89B
Float
327.3M
Shares Outstanding
341.2M
P/E (Forward)
10.53
P/E (TTM)
7.71
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.76
vs. Analyst Target
+11.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
24.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)
26.58%
Revenue (TTM)
$19.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.10%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$111.87 (20 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$8.29B
$1.41B
$2.60B
$1.77B
2021
$8.92B
$2.16B
$3.04B
$2.32B
2022
$9.66B
$1.48B
$2.89B
$1.72B
2023
$13.29B
$4.44B
$4.74B
$3.61B
2024
$17.44B
$4.31B
$6.45B
$4.85B
2025
$19.93B
$4.40B
$7.41B
$5.35B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$4.98B
$1.35B
Dec 2025
$5.39B
$1.24B
Mar 2026
$4.36B
$1.05B
Jun 2026
N/A
$1.06B
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
2.7%
Institutional Ownership
94.3%
Short Float
2.5%
% of All Funds Holding
10.23%
Number of Funds Holding
900
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$100.32
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$96.14
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$93.54
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$87.90
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$96.40
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$93.88
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$91.82
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arch Capital Group Ltd.
(ACGL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.