AEG — Aegon NV ADR

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aegon NV ADR

Aegon Ltd. Engages in the provision of insurance, pensions, retirement, and asset management services in the Americas, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Distribution, Protection Solutions, and Savings & Investments. The company offers retirement plans, mutual funds, and stable value solutions; and annuities, individual life, life and health, and individual health. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.43
Market Cap$13.07B
Float1.23B
Shares Outstanding1.50B
P/E (Forward)9.86
P/E (TTM)12.34
Price/Sales (TTM)1.07
vs. Analyst Target+11.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.01%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.27%
Revenue (TTM)$12.19B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-46.70%
Dividend Rate0.5%
Analyst Target Price$9.38 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $40.65B $45.0M $40.65B $169M
2021 $46.50B $1.98B $46.50B $2.58B
2022 -$21.64B -$570M $14.29B $1.00B
2023 $12.98B -$179M $2.37B -$204M
2024 $19.52B $688M $19.52B $635M
2025 $32.08B $938M $32.08B $1.17B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Dec 2024 $16.29B $714M
Jun 2025 $6.65B $584M
Dec 2025 $19.00B $389M
Mar 2026 $19.00B $389M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership8.7%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.26%
Number of Funds Holding268

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$7.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.83Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.40 support 1.09x 0 months ago
$6.50 support 2.25x 11 months ago
$6.00 support 1.62x 15 months ago
$5.70 support 1.29x 26 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.15% 51.76% 9.21% -7.74%
1 Day 0.39% 0.39% 60.00% 16.02% -8.06%
1 Week -0.09% -0.52% 44.71% 34.49% -23.08%
2 Weeks -0.38% -0.64% 43.53% 22.47% -25.76%
1 Month -0.08% 1.31% 54.12% 48.73% -50.23%

Next earnings: March 26, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.2%46.3%41
Feb-0.8%46.3%41
Mar-0.4%58.5%41
Apr4.2%70.7%41
May-2.0%40.0%40
Jun-0.9%50.0%40
Jul2.6%61.0%41
Aug-1.0%46.3%41
Sep-1.1%53.7%41
Oct2.4%63.4%41
Nov4.2%65.9%41
Dec3.7%73.2%41

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 48.4% 1945
Tuesday 0.08% 47.9% 2116
Wednesday 0.09% 48.6% 2111
Thursday 0.02% 46.5% 2071
Friday 0.03% 46.2% 2061

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 8.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aegon NV ADR (AEG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AEG on Trend Edge →