Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates XELB Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 24, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
0
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
24
Actionability
0 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 1.55 vs px 0.87)
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 1.80 vs px 0.87)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 6.03 vs px 0.87)
Seasonal Headwind — october med -7.7% (mag 2/3) · posClose 23.08% (rel 2/3) · n13 ×0.75 = 8.3
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.58 · low 0w×1.00 · vs industry
About Xcel Brands Inc
Xcel Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and consumer products company in North America. The company engages in the design, licensing, marketing, live streaming, and social commerce sale of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio includes Halston, Judith Ripka, C Wonder, Longaberger, and TowerHill. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Apparel Manufacturing
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: May 7, 2001
Headquarters: 550 Seventh Avenue, New York, NY, United States, 10018
Founder-Led: Yes — Robert W. D'Loren (Chairman, President & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$0.81
Market Cap
$5.0M
Float
4.6M
Shares Outstanding
6.6M
P/E (Forward)
1.84
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.11
vs. Analyst Target
+517.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)
-138.27%
Revenue (TTM)
$4.6M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$5.00 (1 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$29.4M
-$13.1M
$24.0M
-$10.9M
2021
$37.9M
-$13.0M
$27.3M
-$7.2M
2022
$25.8M
-$5.4M
$17.8M
$2.7M
2023
$17.8M
-$21.1M
$10.8M
-$13.7M
2024
$8.3M
-$22.4M
$7.8M
-$16.7M
2025
$4.9M
-$17.5M
$1.3M
-$11.5M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$1.1M
-$7.9M
Dec 2025
$1.2M
-$2.8M
Mar 2026
$1.1M
-$2.5M
Jun 2026
$1.1M
-$2.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
33.2%
Institutional Ownership
11.5%
Short Float
0.6%
% of All Funds Holding
0.13%
Number of Funds Holding
11
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$1.26
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$1.55
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$1.76
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$5.99
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$1.46
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$1.85
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$5.73
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$2.20
resistance
2.69x
1 months ago
$2.40
resistance
3.06x
13 months ago
$7.00
resistance
5.49x
19 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.07%
0.00%
25.45%
11.25%
-5.32%
1 Day
-0.60%
0.00%
34.55%
13.18%
-15.00%
1 Week
-0.18%
0.00%
36.36%
37.15%
-29.73%
2 Weeks
-1.23%
0.00%
46.30%
43.42%
-45.45%
1 Month
1.62%
-3.59%
35.19%
108.33%
-48.70%
Next earnings: August 13, 2026
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
22.9%
71.4%
14
Feb
0.3%
35.7%
14
Mar
-5.8%
50.0%
14
Apr
5.6%
28.6%
14
May
9.9%
57.1%
14
Jun
1.7%
35.7%
14
Jul
2.9%
42.9%
14
Aug
-11.0%
0.0%
13
Sep
9.8%
69.2%
13
Oct
-11.4%
23.1%
13
Nov
-6.5%
21.4%
14
Dec
-1.2%
50.0%
14
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.15%
33.1%
655
Tuesday
0.66%
39.2%
717
Wednesday
0.16%
35.3%
716
Thursday
-0.19%
32.9%
702
Friday
0.26%
36.6%
700
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 11.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 33.2%
Founder-led management: Robert W. D'Loren (Chairman, President & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Xcel Brands Inc
(XELB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.