XELB — Xcel Brands Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates XELB Bearish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 27, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Xcel Brands Inc

Xcel Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and consumer products company in North America. The company engages in the design, licensing, marketing, live streaming, and social commerce sale of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio includes Halston, Judith Ripka, C Wonder, Longaberger, and TowerHill. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.59
Market Cap$10.5M
Float4.3M
Shares Outstanding6.1M
P/E (Forward)1.84
Price/Sales (TTM)2.21
vs. Analyst Target+214.5% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-159.35%
Revenue (TTM)$4.8M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $29.4M -$13.1M $24.0M -$10.9M
2021 $37.9M -$13.0M $27.3M -$7.2M
2022 $25.8M -$5.4M $17.8M $2.7M
2023 $17.8M -$21.1M $10.8M -$13.7M
2024 $8.3M -$22.4M $7.8M -$16.7M
2025 $4.9M -$17.5M $4.9M -$11.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.3M -$4.0M
Sep 2025 $1.1M -$7.9M
Dec 2025 $1.2M -$2.8M
Mar 2026 $1.1M -$2.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership36.1%
Institutional Ownership14.5%
Short Float3.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.10%
Number of Funds Holding8

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.98Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.60Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.05Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.29Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.54Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.08Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.20 resistance 2.69x 0 months ago
$2.40 resistance 3.06x 12 months ago
$2.80 resistance 7.43x 14 months ago
$7.00 resistance 5.49x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (54 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% 0.00% 24.07% 11.25% -5.32%
1 Day -0.40% 0.00% 35.19% 13.18% -15.00%
1 Week 0.15% 0.00% 37.04% 37.15% -29.73%
2 Weeks -1.23% 0.00% 46.30% 43.42% -45.45%
1 Month 1.62% -3.59% 35.19% 108.33% -48.70%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (33 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan22.9%71.4%14
Feb0.3%35.7%14
Mar-5.8%50.0%14
Apr5.6%28.6%14
May9.9%57.1%14
Jun1.7%35.7%14
Jul5.7%46.2%13
Aug-11.0%0.0%13
Sep9.8%69.2%13
Oct-11.4%23.1%13
Nov-6.5%21.4%14
Dec-1.2%50.0%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 33.0% 649
Tuesday 0.68% 39.3% 710
Wednesday 0.22% 35.4% 709
Thursday -0.20% 32.8% 695
Friday 0.27% 36.5% 693

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 36.1%

Founder-led management: Robert W. D'Loren (Chairman, President & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$235,345.25
Net Shares Change617,010
% of Float14.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
D LOREN ROBERT W CEO and Chairman +$235,345.25 3 3 buy
DiSanto Mark +$118,480 2 2 buy
LIEBMAN HOWARD M -$4,866.665 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-19 D LOREN ROBERT W CEO and Chairman +$94,907.89 Transaction at $1.17, now +36.5%
2025-12-05 D LOREN ROBERT W CEO and Chairman +$3,817.36 Transaction at $0.65, now +146.5%
2025-08-05 D LOREN ROBERT W CEO and Chairman +$136,620 Transaction at $1.10, now +44.5%
2025-12-05 DiSanto Mark +$17,500 Transaction at $0.35, now +354.3%
2025-08-05 DiSanto Mark +$100,980 Transaction at $1.10, now +44.5%
2026-02-24 LIEBMAN HOWARD M -$1,573.425 Transaction at $2.02, now -21.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for XELB on Trend Edge →