VFC — VF Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VFC Bearish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 23, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction23
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About VF Corporation

V.F. Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, offers branded apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and children in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates through two segments: Outdoor and Active. The company provides outdoor apparel, footwear, equipment, accessories; and style-forward and weather-ready footwear, apparel, and accessories under the Timberland, Timberland PRO, and The North Face brands. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$16.77
Market Cap$6.49B
Float391.6M
Shares Outstanding392.3M
P/E (Forward)14.56
P/E (TTM)25.83
Price/Sales (TTM)0.51
vs. Analyst Target+20.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.76%
Revenue (TTM)$12.78B
Earnings Growth (YoY)78.10%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$20.21 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $9.24B $408M $4.91B $1.05B
2022 $11.84B $1.39B $6.46B $1.95B
2023 $11.09B $119M $5.80B $1.14B
2024 $9.92B -$969M $5.12B $782M
2025 $9.50B -$190M $5.09B $729M
2026 $9.61B $255M $5.26B $789M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.76B -$116M
Sep 2025 $2.80B $190M
Dec 2025 $2.88B $301M
Mar 2026 $2.17B -$119M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership91.3%
Short Float6.8%
% of All Funds Holding6.23%
Number of Funds Holding512

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.15Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$17.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$17.02Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.28Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$19.00 resistance 1.23x 1 months ago
$11.60 support 1.10x 10 months ago
$24.70 resistance 1.55x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.11% -0.02% 43.55% 19.26% -9.97%
1 Day 0.02% -0.36% 37.90% 27.01% -13.96%
1 Week 0.75% 0.72% 58.06% 25.54% -17.44%
2 Weeks 1.37% 1.28% 61.29% 25.00% -19.68%
1 Month 1.56% 1.90% 55.28% 24.42% -28.21%

Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.4%45.7%46
Feb3.5%67.4%46
Mar0.3%54.3%46
Apr1.7%57.4%47
May0.2%53.2%47
Jun-0.7%42.6%47
Jul3.0%60.9%46
Aug1.0%58.7%46
Sep-1.7%50.0%46
Oct1.1%54.3%46
Nov4.0%67.4%46
Dec0.7%56.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 48.4% 2206
Tuesday 0.16% 50.8% 2394
Wednesday 0.09% 48.5% 2392
Thursday 0.05% 49.2% 2346
Friday -0.04% 46.5% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

Founder-led management: Brian Beckstead (Founder & Chief Marketing Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change23,322
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Carucci Richard +$515,010 1 1 buy
CHUGG JULIANA L -$142,241.4 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-10 Carucci Richard +$515,010 Transaction at $17.17, now -2.3%
2026-02-12 CHUGG JULIANA L -$142,241.4 Transaction at $21.30, now -21.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for VF Corporation (VFC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VFC on Trend Edge →