WMS — Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates WMS Bullish with a Setup Score of 63, net conviction 55, actionability 72. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score63
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction55
Actionability72 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Advanced Drainage Systems Inc

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets thermoplastic corrugated pipes and related water management products in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through Stormwater and Wastewater segments. The company offers single, double, and triple wall corrugated polypropylene and polyethylene pipes; plastic leachfield chambers and systems; EZflow synthetic aggregate bundles; wastewater purificati… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$150.47
Market Cap$11.32B
Float71.1M
Shares Outstanding76.6M
P/E (Forward)22.99
P/E (TTM)26.59
Price/Sales (TTM)3.71
vs. Analyst Target+20.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.98%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.50%
Revenue (TTM)$3.05B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-58.00%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$181.20 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.98B $224M $690M $494M
2022 $2.77B $271M $800M $559M
2023 $3.07B $507M $1.12B $872M
2024 $2.87B $510M $1.15B $911M
2025 $2.90B $450M $1.09B $865M
2026 $3.05B $426M $1.11B $872M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $830M $144M
Sep 2025 $850M $156M
Dec 2025 $693M $93.6M
Mar 2026 $677M $32.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.0%
Institutional Ownership96.8%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding6.48%
Number of Funds Holding533

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$142.04Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$147.85Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$134.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$129.55Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$149.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$134.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$136.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$138.00 support 1.42x 0 months ago
$134.00 support 1.21x 2 months ago
$167.00 resistance 1.33x 3 months ago
$114.00 support 1.35x 10 months ago
$177.00 resistance 1.34x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.82% 0.66% 72.92% 9.87% -1.44%
1 Day 1.33% 0.99% 64.58% 11.12% -3.87%
1 Week 1.82% 2.89% 66.67% 12.27% -12.36%
2 Weeks 2.47% 2.87% 64.58% 20.75% -19.78%
1 Month 2.14% 2.06% 63.83% 23.41% -19.13%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.5%66.7%12
Feb3.7%58.3%12
Mar-2.8%50.0%12
Apr4.3%66.7%12
May3.4%75.0%12
Jun4.6%75.0%12
Jul4.2%54.5%11
Aug4.4%58.3%12
Sep0.5%58.3%12
Oct-1.4%50.0%12
Nov3.1%66.7%12
Dec-0.8%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 53.1% 563
Tuesday 0.20% 50.9% 619
Wednesday 0.04% 50.3% 616
Thursday 0.16% 49.9% 603
Friday 0.08% 49.3% 601

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 96.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$11.2M
Net Shares Change-20,242
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BARBOUR D. SCOTT President & Chief Executive Officer -$9.9M 1 1 sell
EVERSOLE ROBERT M -$1.6M 1 1 sell
MAKOWSKI TIM A Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer -$731,276.25 1 1 sell
WAUN THOMAS J. SR. EVP, International -$571,189.935 2 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-13 – 2025-11-13 3 3 -$10.9M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-13 WAUN THOMAS J. SR. EVP, International -$338,689.935 Transaction at $149.15, now +0.9%
2025-12-01 WAUN THOMAS J. SR. EVP, International -$232,500 Transaction at $155.00, now -2.9%
2025-11-13 MAKOWSKI TIM A Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer -$731,276.25 Transaction at $149.21, now +0.8%
2025-12-05 EVERSOLE ROBERT M -$1.6M Transaction at $152.82, now -1.5%
2025-11-13 BARBOUR D. SCOTT President & Chief Executive Officer -$9.9M Transaction at $87.35, now +72.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Advanced Drainage Systems Inc (WMS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WMS on Trend Edge →