BLDR — Builders FirstSource Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BLDR Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 26, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Builders FirstSource Inc

Builders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides building materials for professional builders in new residential construction and repair, and remodeling in the United States. It offers manufactured products, such as factory-built substitutes for job-site framing, wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood; Ready-Frame, a whole house framing solution; manufactured and semi-custom modular homes, and built in a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$75.69
Market Cap$8.02B
Float104.4M
Shares Outstanding107.6M
P/E (Forward)15.65
P/E (TTM)28.34
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
vs. Analyst Target+28.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.50%
Revenue (TTM)$14.82B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-82.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$97.38 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.56B $314M $2.22B $660M
2021 $19.89B $1.73B $5.85B $2.93B
2022 $22.73B $2.75B $7.74B $4.24B
2023 $17.10B $1.54B $6.01B $2.73B
2024 $16.40B $1.08B $5.38B $1.60B
2025 $15.19B $435M $4.41B $1.38B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.23B $185M
Sep 2025 $3.94B $122M
Dec 2025 $3.36B $31.5M
Mar 2026 $3.29B -$47.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.7%
Institutional Ownership101.6%
Short Float7.6%
% of All Funds Holding8.38%
Number of Funds Holding689

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$77.97Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$98.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$114.61Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$126.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$95.28Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$112.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$134.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$101.00 resistance 1.24x 3 months ago
$136.00 resistance 1.04x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.84% 0.42% 58.33% 10.42% -8.19%
1 Day 0.07% -0.67% 42.86% 14.14% -15.78%
1 Week 0.16% -0.43% 47.62% 28.51% -27.04%
2 Weeks 0.00% -1.34% 45.24% 82.24% -45.34%
1 Month 0.39% 0.54% 50.60% 75.66% -69.94%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%57.1%21
Feb3.7%52.4%21
Mar2.9%61.9%21
Apr8.8%47.6%21
May0.7%47.6%21
Jun-1.3%42.9%21
Jul4.2%61.9%21
Aug4.6%61.9%21
Sep-4.0%52.4%21
Oct-3.7%42.9%21
Nov1.7%61.9%21
Dec6.8%71.4%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 49.3% 990
Tuesday 0.09% 49.4% 1085
Wednesday 0.04% 49.9% 1086
Thursday 0.26% 51.3% 1065
Friday 0.09% 49.2% 1060

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$181,062.5
Net Shares Change43,380
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LEVY PAUL S +$4.4M 1 1 buy
Rush David E -$390,850 1 1 sell
Johnson Timothy D EVP & General Counsel -$181,062.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-12 Rush David E -$390,850 Transaction at $78.17, now -3.2%
2026-03-16 LEVY PAUL S +$4.4M Transaction at $87.73, now -13.7%
2025-08-26 Johnson Timothy D EVP & General Counsel -$181,062.5 Transaction at $144.85, now -47.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BLDR on Trend Edge →