BLDR — Builders FirstSource Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Builders FirstSource Inc

Builders FirstSource, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides building materials for professional builders in new residential construction and repair, and remodeling in the United States. It offers manufactured products, such as factory-built substitutes for job-site framing, wood floor and roof trusses, wall panels, and engineered wood; Ready-Frame, a whole house framing solution; manufactured and semi-custom modular homes, and built in a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$77.47
Market Cap$7.94B
Float104.5M
Shares Outstanding107.6M
P/E (Forward)15.04
P/E (TTM)28.19
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
vs. Analyst Target+25.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.50%
Revenue (TTM)$14.82B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-82.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$97.38 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.56B $314M $2.22B $660M
2021 $19.89B $1.73B $5.85B $2.93B
2022 $22.73B $2.75B $7.74B $4.27B
2023 $17.10B $1.54B $6.01B $2.73B
2024 $16.40B $1.08B $5.38B $1.60B
2025 $15.19B $435M $4.41B $1.38B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.23B $185M
Sep 2025 $3.94B $122M
Dec 2025 $3.36B $31.5M
Mar 2026 $3.29B -$47.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.7%
Institutional Ownership101.6%
Short Float13.5%
% of All Funds Holding8.38%
Number of Funds Holding689

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$79.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$106.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$121.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$125.87Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$104.88Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$122.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$134.76Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$101.00 resistance 1.24x 1 months ago
$136.00 resistance 1.04x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (84 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.84% 0.42% 58.33% 10.42% -8.19%
1 Day 0.07% -0.67% 42.86% 14.14% -15.78%
1 Week 0.16% -0.43% 47.62% 28.51% -27.04%
2 Weeks 0.00% -1.34% 45.24% 82.24% -45.34%
1 Month 0.39% 0.54% 50.60% 75.66% -69.94%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%57.1%21
Feb3.7%52.4%21
Mar2.9%61.9%21
Apr8.8%47.6%21
May0.9%50.0%20
Jun-2.2%40.0%20
Jul4.2%61.9%21
Aug4.6%61.9%21
Sep-4.0%52.4%21
Oct-3.7%42.9%21
Nov1.7%61.9%21
Dec6.8%71.4%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 49.4% 984
Tuesday 0.08% 49.4% 1080
Wednesday 0.04% 50.0% 1080
Thursday 0.25% 51.2% 1059
Friday 0.10% 49.2% 1056

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$43,931.5
Net Shares Change52,035
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LEVY PAUL S +$4.4M 1 1 buy
Charles Dirkson R +$548,350 1 1 buy
Rush David E -$390,850 1 1 sell
Vance Todd President - East Division +$224,994 1 1 buy
Johnson Timothy D EVP and General Counsel -$181,062.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-16 LEVY PAUL S +$4.4M Transaction at $87.73, now -11.7%
2026-05-12 Rush David E -$390,850 Transaction at $78.17, now -0.9%
2025-06-12 Vance Todd President - East Division +$224,994 Transaction at $115.50, now -32.9%
2025-05-29 Charles Dirkson R +$548,350 Transaction at $109.67, now -29.4%
2025-08-26 Johnson Timothy D EVP and General Counsel -$181,062.5 Transaction at $144.85, now -46.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BLDR on Trend Edge →