JCI — Johnson Controls International PLC

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates JCI Bullish with a Setup Score of 56, net conviction 35, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score56
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Johnson Controls International PLC

Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$141.82
Market Cap$86.72B
Float603.8M
Shares Outstanding605.7M
P/E (Forward)23.58
P/E (TTM)40.79
Price/Sales (TTM)3.47
vs. Analyst Target+15.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.88%
Revenue (TTM)$25.00B
Earnings Growth (YoY)15.30%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$163.11 (22 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $22.32B $631M $7.42B $2.08B
2021 $23.67B $1.64B $8.05B $3.88B
2022 $20.64B $1.53B $7.09B $2.05B
2023 $22.33B $1.85B $7.82B $2.10B
2024 $22.95B $1.71B $8.08B $2.80B
2025 $23.60B $3.29B $8.59B $3.15B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $6.44B $1.69B
Dec 2025 $5.80B $524M
Mar 2026 $6.14B $613M
Jun 2026 $6.61B $749M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership92.6%
Short Float1.8%
% of All Funds Holding18.01%
Number of Funds Holding1,584

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$144.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$134.78Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$117.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$86.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$134.53Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$115.81Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$90.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$133.00 support 1.12x 1 months ago
$119.00 support 1.06x 5 months ago
$85.00 support 1.18x 14 months ago
$77.00 support 1.06x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.03% 50.81% 3.71% -6.57%
1 Day 0.03% -0.08% 48.39% 5.75% -6.14%
1 Week 0.62% 0.80% 56.45% 20.19% -21.79%
2 Weeks 1.15% 1.46% 60.48% 14.65% -26.69%
1 Month 2.40% 2.08% 61.79% 53.15% -41.40%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%56.4%39
Feb0.6%56.4%39
Mar0.8%59.0%39
Apr1.2%46.2%39
May4.4%74.4%39
Jun0.4%53.8%39
Jul0.6%56.4%39
Aug0.5%60.5%38
Sep-1.0%50.0%38
Oct-0.8%53.8%39
Nov3.3%64.1%39
Dec2.9%69.2%39

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 50.1% 1847
Tuesday 0.11% 48.7% 2011
Wednesday 0.04% 50.4% 2009
Thursday 0.10% 50.2% 1972
Friday 0.10% 50.7% 1960

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$22.6M
Net Shares Change-129,198
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Schlitz Lei Zhang VP & Pres, GP & Solutions -$15.9M 3 3 sell
Donofrio John Exec VP & General Counsel -$2.5M 1 1 sell
Grabowski Todd M VP and President, Americas -$1.7M 3 3 sell
Vergnano Mark +$1.0M 1 1 buy
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C VP Chief Accounting & Tax Ofcr -$513,216 1 1 sell
Cohade Pierre E -$487,707 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-05 Schlitz Lei Zhang VP & Pres, GP & Solutions -$3.6M Transaction at $153.07, now -7.3%
2026-08-19 Cohade Pierre E -$487,707 Transaction at $147.79, now -4.0%
2026-06-09 Grabowski Todd M VP and President, Americas -$263,160 Transaction at $146.20, now -3.0%
2026-05-12 Schlitz Lei Zhang VP & Pres, GP & Solutions -$8.7M Transaction at $101.24, now +40.1%
2026-05-15 Grabowski Todd M VP and President, Americas -$621,867 Transaction at $145.50, now -2.5%
2026-02-05 Vergnano Mark +$1.0M Transaction at $131.94, now +7.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JCI on Trend Edge →