MOD — Modine Manufacturing Company

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MOD Bullish with a Setup Score of 85, net conviction 59, actionability 122. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score85
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction59
Actionability122 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Modine Manufacturing Company

Modine Manufacturing Company designs, engineers, tests, manufactures, and sells mission-critical thermal solutions in the United States, Canada, Italy, Hungary, the United Kingdom, China, and internationally. It offers heat transfer products, including round tube plate fin construction; gas-fired, hydronic, electric, and oil fired unit heaters; roof-mounted direct- and indirect-fired makeup air units, duct furnaces, infrared units, and perimeter … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$188.01
Market Cap$10.13B
Float52.0M
Shares Outstanding53.1M
P/E (Forward)26.32
P/E (TTM)73.08
Price/Sales (TTM)3.00
vs. Analyst Target+65.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.00%
Revenue (TTM)$3.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)44.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$310.29 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.81B -$211M $293M -$31.3M
2022 $2.05B $85.2M $309M $172M
2023 $2.30B $153M $389M $208M
2024 $2.41B $162M $527M $295M
2025 $2.58B $184M $645M $358M
2026 $3.18B $122M $731M $298M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $739M $44.4M
Dec 2025 $805M -$47.4M
Mar 2026 $954M $73.6M
Jun 2026 $874M $73.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.9%
Institutional Ownership101.8%
Short Float6.6%
% of All Funds Holding7.21%
Number of Funds Holding634

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$219.58Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$212.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$162.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$106.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$211.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$160.68Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$121.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$255.00 resistance 1.33x 0 months ago
$185.00 support 1.23x 5 months ago
$137.00 support 1.48x 6 months ago
$98.00 support 1.43x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (132 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.19% -0.11% 40.15% 23.89% -28.27%
1 Day 1.08% 0.57% 56.06% 30.35% -40.76%
1 Week 2.06% 1.06% 52.27% 54.28% -36.37%
2 Weeks 2.51% 1.71% 58.33% 62.95% -37.47%
1 Month 3.09% 1.56% 57.25% 96.91% -39.24%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%54.5%44
Feb1.0%54.5%44
Mar3.1%47.7%44
Apr4.9%61.4%44
May3.7%65.9%44
Jun-0.1%50.0%44
Jul5.0%54.5%44
Aug0.9%51.2%43
Sep-0.6%51.2%43
Oct-0.9%47.7%44
Nov3.9%65.9%44
Dec0.3%52.3%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 45.3% 2091
Tuesday 0.13% 45.6% 2271
Wednesday 0.07% 45.5% 2268
Thursday 0.15% 47.5% 2226
Friday 0.06% 46.5% 2213

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$36.0M
Net Shares Change-166,386
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
McGinnis Eric S President, Commercial HVAC -$15.0M 3 3 sell
Agen Brian Jon VP, CHRO -$11.3M 1 N/A
Brinker Neil David President and CEO -$5.1M 1 N/A
ASHLEMAN ERIC D -$4.3M 1 1 sell
Lucareli Michael B EVP, CFO -$4.2M 1 1 sell
WILLIAMS MARSHA C -$2.8M 1 1 sell
Laszlo Arthur Jr. President, Data Centers -$387,788.85 1 1 sell
Garimella Suresh V -$202,477 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-18 – 2026-06-22 3 3 -$15.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 McGinnis Eric S President, Commercial HVAC -$11.0M Transaction at $281.99, now -33.3%
2026-06-02 Laszlo Arthur Jr. President, Data Centers -$387,788.85 Transaction at $287.34, now -34.6%
2026-06-18 ASHLEMAN ERIC D -$4.3M Transaction at $288.54, now -34.8%
2026-06-22 McGinnis Eric S President, Commercial HVAC -$300,966.3 Transaction at $295.06, now -36.3%
2025-08-26 McGinnis Eric S President, Climate Solutions -$3.7M Transaction at $139.49, now +34.8%
2026-06-22 Agen Brian Jon VP, CHRO -$11.3M Transaction at $295.17, now -36.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MOD on Trend Edge →