WLFC — Willis Lease Finance Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates WLFC Bullish with a Setup Score of 17, net conviction 41, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score17
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction41
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Willis Lease Finance Corporation

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and leasing commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aircraft equipment, as well as the purchase and resale of commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft equipment,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$221.01
Market Cap$1.80B
Float2.9M
Shares Outstanding8.0M
P/E (Forward)6.91
P/E (TTM)13.30
Price/Sales (TTM)2.38
vs. Analyst Target+2.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.19%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.35%
Revenue (TTM)$753M
Earnings Growth (YoY)47.50%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$226.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $289M $9.7M $177M $175M
2021 $274M $3.4M $169M $168M
2022 $312M $5.4M $203M $165M
2023 $419M $43.8M $291M $237M
2024 $569M $109M $429M $353M
2025 $676M $114M $444M $410M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $196M $60.4M
Sep 2025 $180M $24.3M
Dec 2025 $194M $12.2M
Mar 2026 $194M $25.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership55.2%
Institutional Ownership47.3%
Short Float16.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.35%
Number of Funds Holding111

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$201.45Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$171.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$165.35Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$108.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$176.40Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$169.24Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$121.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$176.00 support 2.07x 0 months ago
$174.00 support 1.45x 2 months ago
$107.00 support 1.68x 21 months ago
$88.00 support 2.46x 22 months ago
$70.00 support 1.56x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% 0.00% 45.69% 4.55% -9.74%
1 Day 0.07% 0.00% 49.14% 19.70% -12.30%
1 Week -0.13% -0.22% 45.69% 72.73% -48.62%
2 Weeks -0.19% -0.19% 47.41% 60.61% -31.09%
1 Month 0.58% -1.62% 46.96% 86.04% -42.41%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (22 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%63.3%30
Feb0.8%56.7%30
Mar1.2%60.0%30
Apr-1.3%43.3%30
May0.7%43.3%30
Jun2.5%53.3%30
Jul1.9%48.3%29
Aug-0.8%44.8%29
Sep1.5%48.3%29
Oct3.0%66.7%30
Nov6.6%70.0%30
Dec2.2%46.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 45.5% 1410
Tuesday 0.06% 44.6% 1539
Wednesday 0.14% 46.4% 1537
Thursday 0.13% 46.6% 1508
Friday 0.10% 47.1% 1500

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 47.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 55.2%

Founder-led management: Charles Willis (Founder and Executive Chairman), Charles Willis (Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$26.7M
Net Shares Change-163,915
% of Float-5.7%
C-Suite Filings18
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WILLIS CHARLES F IV Executive Chairman -$12.7M 4 5 sell
Willis Austin Chandler Chief Executive Officer -$6.1M 2 N/A
Hole Brian Richard PRESIDENT -$1.4M 1 N/A
Barrington Colm -$314,259.2 1 1 sell
Jones Stephen Francis -$98,181.62 1 1 sell
Poulakidas Dean Michael EVP, GEN. COUNSEL, SECRETARY +N/A 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-05 – 2025-08-18 5 4 -$7.1M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-01 WILLIS CHARLES F IV Executive Chairman -$1.5M Transaction at $166.55, now +32.7%
2026-03-27 WILLIS CHARLES F IV Executive Chairman -$2.7M Transaction at $171.48, now +28.9%
2026-03-19 Jones Stephen Francis -$98,181.62 Transaction at $167.26, now +32.1%
2025-11-19 Poulakidas Dean Michael EVP, GEN. COUNSEL, SECRETARY +N/A N/A
2025-08-18 Barrington Colm -$314,259.2 Transaction at $157.13, now +40.7%
2025-12-08 WILLIS CHARLES F IV Executive Chairman -$3.8M Transaction at $126.28, now +75.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WLFC on Trend Edge →