AER — AerCap Holdings NV

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About AerCap Holdings NV

AerCap Holdings N.V. engages in the lease, financing, sale, and management of commercial flight equipment in the United States, China, and internationally. The company engages in aircraft and engine asset management services, such as remarketing aircraft and engines for lease or sale; collecting rental and supplemental maintenance rent payments, monitoring aircraft maintenance, monitoring and enforcing contract compliance, and accepting delivery … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$141.80
Market Cap$22.01B
Float149.8M
Shares Outstanding157.7M
P/E (Forward)10.12
P/E (TTM)6.12
Price/Sales (TTM)2.54
vs. Analyst Target+15.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin45.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)60.94%
Revenue (TTM)$8.68B
Earnings Growth (YoY)42.50%
Dividend Rate1.6%
Analyst Target Price$163.78 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.49B -$299M $2.52B $3.93B
2021 $4.59B $1.00B $2.53B $3.95B
2022 $7.01B -$726M $3.80B $5.79B
2023 $7.58B $3.14B $4.34B $3.91B
2024 $8.00B $2.10B $4.61B $4.15B
2025 $8.19B $3.75B $4.89B $8.72B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.89B $1.26B
Sep 2025 $1.89B $1.22B
Dec 2025 $2.17B $633M
Mar 2026 $2.16B $818M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.3%
Institutional Ownership97.8%
Short Float1.2%
% of All Funds Holding7.65%
Number of Funds Holding629

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$141.47Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$136.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$120.48Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$90.33Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$136.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$120.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$97.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 resistance 1.22x 1 months ago
$107.00 support 1.26x 8 months ago
$106.00 support 1.02x 11 months ago
$94.00 support 1.14x 14 months ago
$86.00 support 1.01x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.10% 53.85% 4.79% -11.34%
1 Day 0.40% 0.21% 56.41% 9.74% -9.01%
1 Week 0.09% 0.20% 51.28% 14.84% -32.16%
2 Weeks -0.41% 1.19% 53.85% 25.91% -35.34%
1 Month -0.51% 0.00% 49.35% 43.41% -71.27%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.3%55.0%20
Feb2.0%65.0%20
Mar-2.3%45.0%20
Apr6.2%75.0%20
May3.5%63.2%19
Jun-2.2%42.1%19
Jul2.2%73.7%19
Aug1.3%57.9%19
Sep-2.7%42.1%19
Oct1.9%63.2%19
Nov3.2%68.4%19
Dec3.9%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 48.5% 919
Tuesday 0.19% 50.4% 1008
Wednesday 0.18% 51.7% 1007
Thursday -0.04% 50.8% 987
Friday 0.05% 51.1% 984

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$19.1M
Net Shares Change-130,504
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Juhas Peter Chief Financial Officer -$11.0M 1 1 sell
Kelly Aengus Chief Executive Officer -$7.4M 1 2 sell
Drouillard Vincent General Counsel -$675,600 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-05-08 – 2026-05-13 3 3 -$19.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-08 Kelly Aengus Chief Executive Officer -$7.4M Transaction at $148.83, now -4.7%
2026-05-13 Juhas Peter Chief Financial Officer -$11.0M Transaction at $144.72, now -2.0%
2026-05-08 Drouillard Vincent General Counsel -$675,600 Transaction at $150.00, now -5.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AerCap Holdings NV (AER) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AER on Trend Edge →