CAR — Avis Budget Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Avis Budget Group Inc

Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that off… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$165.10
Market Cap$5.57B
Float14.6M
Shares Outstanding35.3M
P/E (Forward)3.39
Price/Sales (TTM)0.47
vs. Analyst Target-23.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-5.68%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.82%
Revenue (TTM)$11.75B
Earnings Growth (YoY)52.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$127.00 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.40B -$684M $596M $2.17B
2021 $9.31B $1.28B $3.39B $4.74B
2022 $11.99B $2.76B $4.77B $7.15B
2023 $12.01B $1.63B $3.93B $6.43B
2024 $11.79B -$1.82B $3.00B $2.67B
2025 $11.65B -$889M $2.85B $5.25B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.04B $4.0M
Sep 2025 $3.52B $359M
Dec 2025 $2.66B -$747M
Mar 2026 $2.53B -$283M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership133.3%
Short Float41.6%
% of All Funds Holding3.42%
Number of Funds Holding281

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$215.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$152.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$131.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$149.05Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$142.31Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$124.70Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$139.91Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 support 4.45x 0 months ago
$95.00 support 1.09x 1 months ago
$94.00 support 1.40x 11 months ago
$77.00 support 2.09x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.07% 0.00% 47.97% 16.38% -17.53%
1 Day -0.04% -0.27% 47.15% 108.31% -26.51%
1 Week -1.27% -1.00% 44.72% 61.16% -39.93%
2 Weeks -1.38% -1.14% 40.65% 64.18% -42.40%
1 Month 0.66% -0.70% 48.36% 82.93% -68.97%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%58.1%43
Feb0.5%51.2%43
Mar7.1%65.1%43
Apr4.7%55.8%43
May7.2%61.9%42
Jun1.7%57.1%42
Jul-0.2%38.1%42
Aug0.3%50.0%42
Sep-0.8%45.2%42
Oct-0.2%44.2%43
Nov4.4%62.8%43
Dec4.6%62.8%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 45.2% 2031
Tuesday 0.11% 45.7% 2207
Wednesday 0.10% 47.1% 2203
Thursday 0.17% 47.0% 2163
Friday 0.25% 47.7% 2153

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 133.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$3.9M
Net Shares Change-8,593,340
% of Float-58.7%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pentwater Capital Management LP -$3.45B 3 1 buy, 2 sell
Hees Bernardo -$63.0M 1 1 sell
Linnen Edward P EVP, Chief HR Officer -$3.3M 2 2 sell
Simhambhatla Ravi EVP, Chief Digital and Innovation Officer -$638,608.21 1 1 sell
KROMINGA LYNN -$178,503 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-28 – 2026-05-12 4 3 -$3.51B 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-30 Linnen Edward P EVP, Chief HR Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $182.32, now -9.4%
2026-04-30 Simhambhatla Ravi EVP, Chief Digital and Innovation Officer -$638,608.21 Transaction at $184.09, now -10.3%
2026-05-12 Pentwater Capital Management LP -$1.75B Transaction at $403.78, now -59.1%
2026-04-28 Pentwater Capital Management LP -$1.75B Transaction at $403.78, now -59.1%
2026-02-24 Pentwater Capital Management LP +$51.2M Transaction at $112.36, now +46.9%
2025-08-18 Linnen Edward P EVP, Chief HR Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $156.83, now +5.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CAR on Trend Edge →