VTS — Vitesse Energy Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VTS Bearish with a Setup Score of 16, net conviction 27, actionability 10. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score16
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability10 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Vitesse Energy Inc

Vitesse Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, development, and production of non-operated oil and natural gas properties in the United States. The company acquires and owns non-operated working interest and royalty interest ownership in the Williston Basin properties covering 53,301 net acres located in North Dakota and Montana. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$15.47
Market Cap$643M
Float31.2M
Shares Outstanding41.7M
P/E (Forward)909.09
Price/Sales (TTM)2.55
vs. Analyst Target+53.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-7.81%
Operating Margin (TTM)-79.51%
Revenue (TTM)$252M
Earnings Growth (YoY)82.40%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$23.75 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $97.2M -$8.9M -$12.0M $54.1M
2021 $185M $18.1M $127M $82.2M
2022 $282M $119M $163M $187M
2023 $234M -$21.6M $91.0M $129M
2024 $242M $21.1M $72.6M $139M
2025 $274M $25.3M $51.7M $175M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $81.8M $24.7M
Sep 2025 $67.4M -$1.3M
Dec 2025 $58.6M -$739,000
Mar 2026 $67.4M -$42.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership18.1%
Institutional Ownership53.7%
Short Float20.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.56%
Number of Funds Holding210

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$16.92Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.41Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.46Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.40 resistance 1.46x 0 months ago
$18.70 resistance 1.06x 1 months ago
$20.00 resistance 1.58x 3 months ago
$21.10 resistance 1.29x 6 months ago
$26.40 resistance 1.28x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (14 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.59% -0.72% 42.86% 6.84% -5.72%
1 Day 0.94% -0.76% 42.86% 9.94% -7.26%
1 Week 3.71% 5.81% 71.43% 9.60% -4.72%
2 Weeks 4.94% 5.07% 71.43% 24.83% -6.19%
1 Month 3.62% 4.69% 61.54% 39.77% -18.56%

Next earnings: August 3, 2026 (21 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 53.7% 164
Tuesday 0.13% 50.0% 180
Wednesday 0.04% 52.0% 179
Thursday -0.24% 49.4% 174
Friday 0.05% 54.3% 175

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 18.1%

Founder-led management: Bob Gerrity (Chairman & CEO), Brian Cree (President)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$9.8M
Net Shares Change-328,898
% of Float-1.1%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Gerrity Robert W Chief Executive Officer -$4.6M 2 N/A
Cree Brian President & Interim CEO -$4.2M 3 1 sell
STEINBERG JOSEPH S +$1.7M 2 2 buy
Henderson James P Chief Financial Officer -$434,766.055 2 1 buy, 1 sell
O Leary Dan +$185,600 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-16 – 2026-01-21 6 4 -$6.8M 6 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-02-26 3 3 -$393,129.172 3 C-suite
2026-04-01 – 2026-04-01 3 3 -$1.9M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-17 STEINBERG JOSEPH S +$660,530.474 Transaction at $16.16, now -4.3%
2026-06-01 STEINBERG JOSEPH S +$1.0M Transaction at $17.00, now -9.0%
2026-04-01 Henderson James P Chief Financial Officer +$186,900 Transaction at $18.69, now -17.2%
2026-04-01 O Leary Dan +$185,600 Transaction at $18.56, now -16.6%
2026-04-01 Cree Brian President & Interim CEO -$2.2M Transaction at $18.59, now -16.8%
2025-09-03 Henderson James P Chief Financial Officer -$621,666.055 Transaction at $26.44, now -41.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vitesse Energy Inc (VTS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VTS on Trend Edge →