OXY — Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OXY Bearish with a Setup Score of 22, net conviction 17, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score22
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction17
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$58.41
Market Cap$61.50B
Float995.6M
Shares Outstanding999.6M
P/E (Forward)11.03
P/E (TTM)17.73
Price/Sales (TTM)2.57
vs. Analyst Target+13.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin30.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)45.44%
Revenue (TTM)$23.93B
Earnings Growth (YoY)964.90%
Dividend Rate1.1%
Analyst Target Price$66.48 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.14B -$14.83B $441M -$6.14B
2021 $25.96B $2.31B $7.60B $13.89B
2022 $36.25B $13.22B $17.05B $22.16B
2023 $28.33B $4.67B $9.74B $14.54B
2024 $27.10B $3.04B $9.65B $12.72B
2025 $21.59B $2.37B $7.29B $11.67B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $6.62B $830M
Dec 2025 $5.01B $102M
Mar 2026 $5.23B $3.35B
Jun 2026 $8.06B $2.81B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership26.8%
Institutional Ownership58.0%
Short Float2.3%
% of All Funds Holding13.95%
Number of Funds Holding1,227

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$55.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$52.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$48.21Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$55.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$52.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$48.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$53.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$64.00 resistance 1.10x 3 months ago
$44.00 support 1.07x 5 months ago
$42.00 support 1.02x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.03% 50.81% 6.22% -4.62%
1 Day -0.31% -0.06% 49.19% 8.71% -12.53%
1 Week -0.07% -0.37% 43.55% 44.27% -15.35%
2 Weeks 0.11% 0.08% 50.00% 48.90% -22.74%
1 Month 1.31% 0.87% 54.47% 70.81% -70.80%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%53.3%45
Feb2.0%62.2%45
Mar2.0%60.0%45
Apr3.1%60.0%45
May2.3%60.0%45
Jun0.0%44.4%45
Jul-1.3%44.4%45
Aug1.0%54.5%44
Sep-1.7%47.7%44
Oct-0.7%45.5%44
Nov1.6%52.3%44
Dec-0.8%38.6%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 45.0% 2125
Tuesday 0.04% 46.3% 2308
Wednesday 0.04% 47.1% 2305
Thursday 0.05% 47.5% 2263
Friday 0.15% 48.6% 2249

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 26.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$249,852.6
Net Shares Change9,770
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jackson Richard A. President and CEO +$249,852.6 1 1 buy
KLESSE WILLIAM R +$194,900 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 Jackson Richard A. President and CEO +$249,852.6 Transaction at $52.38, now +11.5%
2025-12-17 KLESSE WILLIAM R +$194,900 Transaction at $38.98, now +49.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OXY on Trend Edge →