COP — ConocoPhillips

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About ConocoPhillips

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific. The company's portfolio includes unconventional plays in North America; conventional assets in North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia; global LNG developments; oil sands assets in Cana… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$113.98
Market Cap$140.26B
Float1.22B
Shares Outstanding1.22B
P/E (Forward)11.17
P/E (TTM)19.55
Price/Sales (TTM)2.36
vs. Analyst Target+24.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin12.33%
Operating Margin (TTM)22.05%
Revenue (TTM)$59.38B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-20.20%
Dividend Rate3.4%
Analyst Target Price$142.35 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.77B -$2.70B -$646M $4.52B
2021 $46.06B $8.08B $14.73B $21.09B
2022 $78.58B $18.62B $29.63B $37.13B
2023 $56.05B $10.92B $17.81B $25.78B
2024 $54.61B $9.22B $16.03B $24.43B
2025 $58.71B $7.99B $14.46B $23.18B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $13.98B $1.97B
Sep 2025 $14.97B $1.73B
Dec 2025 $13.31B $1.44B
Mar 2026 $16.05B $2.18B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership87.0%
Short Float2.0%
% of All Funds Holding29.10%
Number of Funds Holding2,392

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$121.86Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$104.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$100.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$107.93Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$105.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$101.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$107.19Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$94.00 support 1.19x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.06% 0.09% 53.72% 3.86% -4.06%
1 Day -0.13% -0.04% 46.28% 5.47% -7.47%
1 Week 0.20% 0.49% 57.02% 15.33% -28.78%
2 Weeks 0.35% 0.29% 52.07% 21.26% -22.46%
1 Month 1.67% 0.86% 55.83% 43.47% -39.69%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%42.2%45
Feb0.6%60.0%45
Mar3.3%68.9%45
Apr2.5%57.8%45
May1.7%59.1%44
Jun-1.6%43.2%44
Jul0.5%56.8%44
Aug2.3%59.1%44
Sep0.3%50.0%44
Oct-0.5%50.0%44
Nov0.6%45.5%44
Dec2.2%63.6%44

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.4% 2112
Tuesday 0.05% 48.0% 2296
Wednesday 0.10% 48.5% 2292
Thursday 0.02% 47.4% 2250
Friday 0.10% 49.0% 2238

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$82.4M
Net Shares Change126,330
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lance Ryan Michael Chairman and CEO -$54.3M 2 2 sell
Olds Nicholas G Executive Vice President -$3.4M 3 3 sell
LUNDQUIST ANDREW D Senior Vice President -$2.4M 1 1 sell
Rose Kelly Brunetti SVP and General Counsel -$2.0M 2 2 sell
HAYNES WELSH KONTESSA S VP and Controller -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Hrap Heather G. Senior Vice President -$317,630.72 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-09 – 2026-03-23 9 7 -$52.4M 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-31 Lance Ryan Michael Chairman and CEO -$15.0M Transaction at $132.71, now -14.1%
2026-03-25 Rose Kelly Brunetti SVP and General Counsel -$1.0M Transaction at $130.03, now -12.3%
2026-03-16 Olds Nicholas G Executive Vice President -$1.7M Transaction at $119.36, now -4.5%
2026-03-09 Rose Kelly Brunetti SVP and General Counsel -$1.0M Transaction at $118.04, now -3.4%
2026-03-23 Olds Nicholas G Executive Vice President -$888,650.646 Transaction at $127.06, now -10.3%
2026-03-16 Hrap Heather G. Senior Vice President -$317,630.72 Transaction at $119.68, now -4.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ConocoPhillips (COP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for COP on Trend Edge →