VSAT — ViaSat Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VSAT Bullish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 43, actionability 22. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability22 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ViaSat Inc

Viasat, Inc. engages in the provision of broadband and communications products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates in segments, Communication Services; and Defense and Advanced Technologies. It offers satellite-based broadband and narrowband communications solutions; broadband services, including broadband internet access and voice over internet protocol; fixed and mobile broadband and narrowband services; develops … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$74.72
Market Cap$10.20B
Float135.6M
Shares Outstanding137.8M
P/E (Forward)144.93
Price/Sales (TTM)2.20
vs. Analyst Target+35.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-0.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.44%
Revenue (TTM)$4.63B
Earnings Growth (YoY)35.70%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$101.44 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.92B $3.7M $565M $295M
2022 $2.42B -$15.5M $706M $404M
2023 $2.56B -$577M $721M $397M
2024 $4.28B -$1.07B $1.38B $364M
2025 $4.52B -$575M $1.49B $1.24B
2026 $4.64B -$34.1M $1.27B $1.84B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.14B -$61.4M
Dec 2025 $1.16B $25.0M
Mar 2026 $1.17B $58.8M
Jun 2026 $1.16B -$51.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.8%
Institutional Ownership106.9%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding5.48%
Number of Funds Holding482

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$74.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$56.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$37.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$29.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$59.35Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$38.64Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.90 support 1.51x 11 months ago
$8.70 support 1.51x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 49.58% 18.70% -18.26%
1 Day 0.13% -0.56% 45.38% 37.82% -27.69%
1 Week 1.58% 0.61% 51.26% 46.19% -24.81%
2 Weeks 1.38% 1.05% 51.26% 52.58% -25.17%
1 Month 2.88% 2.79% 56.78% 73.20% -43.51%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%50.0%30
Feb2.0%53.3%30
Mar0.0%56.7%30
Apr-0.3%63.3%30
May4.5%53.3%30
Jun4.8%56.7%30
Jul0.2%53.3%30
Aug2.1%48.3%29
Sep-2.2%48.3%29
Oct5.9%55.2%29
Nov0.3%55.2%29
Dec4.8%55.2%29

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 49.0% 1405
Tuesday -0.04% 46.9% 1534
Wednesday 0.05% 48.5% 1533
Thursday 0.16% 49.7% 1504
Friday 0.27% 50.0% 1495

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.8%

Founder-led management: Mark Dankberg (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings34
Net Value-$54.6M
Net Shares Change-1,202,403
% of Float-0.9%
C-Suite Filings26
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DANKBERG MARK D Chairman and CEO -$29.6M 1 N/A
BALDRIDGE RICHARD A -$18.8M 2 2 sell
Duffy Shawn Lynn SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$3.2M 2 2 sell
Blair Robert James SVP, General Counsel -$2.2M 1 1 sell
Palmer Benjamin Edward SVP, Pres Commercial -$1.6M 2 N/A
Chase Garrett L. SVP, Chief Financial Officer -$1.5M 2 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-15 – 2025-09-17 3 3 -$5.9M 2 C-suite
2025-12-16 – 2025-12-17 3 3 -$9.3M 3 C-suite
2026-03-16 – 2026-03-18 3 3 -$1.8M 3 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-09 6 6 -$32.2M 3 C-suite
2026-06-24 – 2026-07-06 3 3 -$462,836.02 2 C-suite
2026-07-22 – 2026-08-05 3 3 -$469,735.46 2 C-suite
2026-08-06 – 2026-08-11 3 3 -$20.3M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Blair Robert James SVP, General Counsel -$2.2M Transaction at $79.76, now -6.3%
2026-08-11 BALDRIDGE RICHARD A -$18.0M Transaction at $80.62, now -7.3%
2026-06-05 BALDRIDGE RICHARD A -$822,553.304 Transaction at $56.58, now +32.1%
2026-08-05 Palmer Benjamin Edward SVP, Pres Commercial -$181,104 Transaction at $75.46, now -1.0%
2025-12-16 Duffy Shawn Lynn SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$1.5M Transaction at $26.17, now +185.5%
2025-09-17 Duffy Shawn Lynn SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$1.6M Transaction at $32.88, now +127.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ViaSat Inc (VSAT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VSAT on Trend Edge →