ASTS — Ast Spacemobile Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Ast Spacemobile Inc

AST SpaceMobile, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops the constellation of BlueBird satellites in the United States. The company provides a cellular broadband network in space to be accessible directly by smartphones for commercial use and other applications, as well as for government use. Its SpaceMobile service provides cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$129.60
Market Cap$36.14B
Float265.8M
Shares Outstanding298.7M
Price/Sales (TTM)425.89
vs. Analyst Target-35.6% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1013.99%
Revenue (TTM)$84.9M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$83.47 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.0M -$24.1M $2.9M -$23.5M
2021 $12.4M -$30.6M $4.8M -$83.8M
2022 $13.8M -$31.6M $7.1M -$97.6M
2023 $24.3M -$87.6M -$30.1M -$162M
2024 $4.4M -$300M $4.4M -$443M
2025 $70.9M -$342M $37.9M -$370M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.2M -$99.4M
Sep 2025 $14.7M -$123M
Dec 2025 $54.3M -$74.0M
Mar 2026 $14.7M -$191M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.8%
Institutional Ownership46.8%
Short Float20.3%
% of All Funds Holding7.92%
Number of Funds Holding651

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$89.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$79.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$55.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$27.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$78.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$53.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$75.00 support 1.48x 0 months ago
$55.00 support 1.28x 4 months ago
$54.00 support 1.49x 6 months ago
$23.00 support 1.60x 10 months ago
$11.90 support 1.65x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (27 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -3.54% -0.25% 37.04% 4.76% -18.99%
1 Day -2.69% -1.88% 22.22% 50.70% -25.72%
1 Week -2.13% -0.84% 44.44% 64.06% -32.93%
2 Weeks -0.79% -0.24% 46.15% 41.44% -31.73%
1 Month 5.49% 0.72% 53.85% 93.17% -34.65%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.29% 47.1% 308
Tuesday -0.19% 43.6% 342
Wednesday 0.48% 46.3% 337
Thursday 0.51% 42.4% 330
Friday 0.60% 48.2% 330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 46.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.8%

Founder-led management: Abel Avellan (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$19.5M
Net Shares Change-3,328,485
% of Float-1.3%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Mikitani Hiroshi -$271M 1 1 sell
Wisniewski Scott President -$4.5M 1 1 sell
Torres Julio A. -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Johnson Andrew Martin CFO and CLO -$1.0M 2 2 sell
Yao Huiwen Chief Technology Officer -$913,126 2 2 sell
Gupta Shanti B. Chief Operating Officer -$773,400 1 1 sell
Bernal Maya Chief Accounting Officer -$442,560 1 1 sell
Cisneros Adriana +$38,092.5 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-09 – 2025-06-16 4 3 -$2.9M 4 C-suite
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-08 4 4 -$3.9M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Torres Julio A. -$1.1M Transaction at $76.34, now +69.8%
2026-05-21 Johnson Andrew Martin CFO and CLO -$451,250 Transaction at $90.25, now +43.6%
2026-03-18 Wisniewski Scott President -$4.5M Transaction at $94.75, now +36.8%
2026-04-16 Mikitani Hiroshi -$271M Transaction at $89.11, now +45.4%
2025-12-12 Gupta Shanti B. Chief Operating Officer -$773,400 Transaction at $77.34, now +67.6%
2025-12-08 Bernal Maya Chief Accounting Officer -$442,560 Transaction at $73.76, now +75.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ASTS on Trend Edge →