Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates LITE Bullish with a Setup Score of 29, net conviction 63, actionability 13. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
29
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
63
Actionability
13 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 781 vs px 1103)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 469 vs px 1103)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 221 vs px 1103)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +10.68 · 12.19→14.82
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +3.85 · age 71w×0.52 · 8.00%
Seasonal Tailwind — november med 9.2% (mag 2/3) · posClose 72.73% (rel 2/3) · n11 ×0.75 = 6
Earnings Tailwind — ER in 25.09d · w1 med 3.9% (mag 3/3) · winRate 62.2% (rel 2/3) · n45
About Lumentum Holdings Inc
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers component products, including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems, and wavelength management systems. The company also offers system products, such as optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers, including short-pulse solid-state lasers and k… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Technology
Industry: Communication Equipment
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: August 4, 2015
Headquarters: 1001 Ridder Park Drive, San Jose, CA, United States, 95131
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$944.76
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$781.16
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$468.78
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$221.31
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$811.42
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$485.19
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$271.04
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$709.00
support
1.20x
5 months ago
$406.00
support
1.43x
7 months ago
$315.00
support
1.18x
9 months ago
$209.00
support
1.71x
10 months ago
$160.00
support
1.20x
11 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
2.13%
0.99%
68.89%
17.46%
-10.50%
1 Day
2.23%
0.73%
57.78%
23.57%
-9.71%
1 Week
4.38%
3.92%
62.22%
34.75%
-12.26%
2 Weeks
4.68%
4.76%
62.22%
46.09%
-26.28%
1 Month
6.14%
3.87%
61.36%
81.86%
-26.33%
Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (23 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.6%
45.5%
11
Feb
10.1%
54.5%
11
Mar
2.6%
63.6%
11
Apr
-4.2%
27.3%
11
May
3.1%
54.5%
11
Jun
7.8%
63.6%
11
Jul
4.9%
72.7%
11
Aug
7.3%
66.7%
12
Sep
-2.3%
33.3%
12
Oct
1.7%
54.5%
11
Nov
12.1%
72.7%
11
Dec
5.3%
54.5%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.32%
53.3%
527
Tuesday
0.19%
50.0%
580
Wednesday
0.35%
53.6%
577
Thursday
0.10%
51.0%
567
Friday
0.11%
52.6%
565
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 93.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.6%
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
44
Net Value
-$229M
Net Shares Change
-107,286
% of Float
-0.1%
C-Suite Filings
32
Clusters Detected
4
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
-$81.1M
3
N/A
Ali Wajid
EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
-$25.7M
1
N/A
Kim Jae
SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL
-$25.6M
2
N/A
Wupen Yuen
PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS
-$10.7M
1
N/A
Small Ian
-$7.5M
2
2 sell
Sepe Matthew Joseph
CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
-$1.0M
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-21
8
6
-$8.7M
4 C-suite
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-18
5
3
-$38.9M
3 C-suite
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-22
9
7
-$45.0M
5 C-suite
2026-08-18 – 2026-09-01
11
4
-$131M
11 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-10-02
Ali Wajid
EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
-$25.7M
Transaction at $1048.50, now +5.2%
2026-05-22
Small Ian
-$4.3M
Transaction at $868.07, now +27.1%
2026-05-12
Small Ian
-$3.2M
Transaction at $911.17, now +21.1%
2026-08-27
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
-$33.0M
Transaction at $852.59, now +29.4%
2026-08-21
Wupen Yuen
PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS
-$10.7M
Transaction at $848.91, now +30.0%
2026-08-21
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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