Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates LITE Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 56, actionability 27. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
39
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
56
Actionability
27 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 686 vs px 830)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 400 vs px 830)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 193 vs px 830)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +10.68 · 12.19→14.82
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +2.84 · age 64w×0.60 · 10.30%
Seasonal Tailwind — november med 9.2% (mag 2/3) · posClose 72.73% (rel 2/3) · n11 ×0.5 = 4
About Lumentum Holdings Inc
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It offers component products, including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, line subsystems, and wavelength management systems. The company also offers system products, such as optical modules, optical circuit switches, and industrial lasers, including short-pulse solid-state lasers and k… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Technology
Industry: Communication Equipment
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: August 4, 2015
Headquarters: 1001 Ridder Park Drive, San Jose, CA, United States, 95131
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$812.57
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$687.41
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$400.28
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$193.67
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$670.41
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$387.77
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$221.19
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$709.00
support
1.20x
3 months ago
$406.00
support
1.43x
5 months ago
$315.00
support
1.18x
7 months ago
$209.00
support
1.71x
8 months ago
$160.00
support
1.20x
9 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (45 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
2.13%
0.99%
68.89%
17.46%
-10.50%
1 Day
2.23%
0.73%
57.78%
23.57%
-9.71%
1 Week
4.38%
3.92%
62.22%
34.75%
-12.26%
2 Weeks
4.46%
4.54%
61.36%
46.09%
-26.28%
1 Month
6.14%
3.87%
61.36%
81.86%
-26.33%
Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (65 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.6%
45.5%
11
Feb
10.1%
54.5%
11
Mar
2.6%
63.6%
11
Apr
-4.2%
27.3%
11
May
3.1%
54.5%
11
Jun
7.8%
63.6%
11
Jul
4.9%
72.7%
11
Aug
5.4%
63.6%
11
Sep
-3.0%
27.3%
11
Oct
1.7%
54.5%
11
Nov
12.1%
72.7%
11
Dec
5.3%
54.5%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.34%
53.3%
522
Tuesday
0.16%
49.8%
574
Wednesday
0.33%
53.4%
571
Thursday
0.10%
51.2%
561
Friday
0.10%
52.4%
559
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 94.1%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.5%
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
34
Net Value
-$150M
Net Shares Change
-145,758
% of Float
-0.2%
C-Suite Filings
22
Clusters Detected
5
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
-$48.2M
2
N/A
Kim Jae
SVP, GENERAL COUNSEL
-$25.6M
2
N/A
Wupen Yuen
PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS
-$10.7M
1
N/A
Small Ian
-$7.5M
2
2 sell
Johnson Julia Suzanne
-$2.7M
1
1 sell
Harris Isaac Hosojiro
-$1.8M
1
1 sell
Sepe Matthew Joseph
CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
-$1.0M
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2025-08-26 – 2025-08-28
4
3
-$2.1M
4 C-suite
2025-11-10 – 2025-11-21
8
6
-$8.7M
4 C-suite
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-18
5
3
-$38.9M
3 C-suite
2026-05-12 – 2026-05-22
9
7
-$45.0M
5 C-suite
2026-08-18 – 2026-08-21
5
3
-$84.5M
5 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-08-21
Wupen Yuen
PRESIDENT, GLOBAL BUS. UNITS
-$10.7M
Transaction at $848.91, now +4.3%
2026-08-21
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
-$10.7M
Transaction at $842.27, now +5.1%
2026-08-18
Retort Vincent
Officer title: Executive Vice President, Global Reliability & Quality
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lumentum Holdings Inc
(LITE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
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