VRNS — Varonis Systems

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Varonis Systems

Varonis Systems, Inc. provides software products and services that continuously discover and classify critical data, remediate exposures, and detect advanced threats with AI-powered technology in North America, Europe, APAC, and rest of worlds. The company offers Varonis Data Security Platform, a Software-as-a-Service solution which includes Data security posture management, Data access intelligence, Data discovery & classification, Discovery pol… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.24
Market Cap$3.60B
Float111.1M
Shares Outstanding114.8M
P/E (Forward)181.82
Price/Sales (TTM)5.45
vs. Analyst Target+20.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-19.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-25.69%
Revenue (TTM)$660M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$36.32 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $293M -$94.0M $248M -$61.7M
2021 $390M -$117M $331M -$80.2M
2022 $474M -$125M $404M -$109M
2023 $499M -$101M $427M -$117M
2024 $551M -$95.8M $457M -$63.6M
2025 $624M -$129M $493M -$104M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $152M -$35.8M
Sep 2025 $162M -$29.9M
Dec 2025 $173M -$27.8M
Mar 2026 $173M -$36.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.1%
Institutional Ownership99.4%
Short Float7.8%
% of All Funds Holding3.36%
Number of Funds Holding276

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$41.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$38.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$40.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$40.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$21.70 support 1.09x 0 months ago
$32.80 resistance 1.20x 3 months ago
$57.00 resistance 1.99x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.85% 3.55% 63.27% 16.82% -37.08%
1 Day 0.12% 2.28% 63.27% 16.93% -48.67%
1 Week -0.09% 2.75% 55.10% 28.22% -44.44%
2 Weeks 0.76% 2.98% 57.14% 33.21% -43.60%
1 Month 1.43% 1.43% 52.08% 36.76% -48.79%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.3%66.7%12
Feb-0.8%41.7%12
Mar-4.6%30.8%13
Apr1.8%61.5%13
May2.8%50.0%12
Jun4.7%66.7%12
Jul1.5%66.7%12
Aug8.3%83.3%12
Sep-5.4%16.7%12
Oct-2.9%58.3%12
Nov3.1%58.3%12
Dec5.1%41.7%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 53.6% 577
Tuesday 0.15% 51.8% 635
Wednesday 0.00% 52.6% 631
Thursday 0.02% 51.6% 618
Friday 0.22% 53.7% 616

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.1%

Founder-led management: Yaki Faitelson (Chief Executive Officer, President, Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings10
Net Value-$5.6M
Net Shares Change409,816
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Melamed Guy CFO and COO -$6.3M 4 N/A
Faitelson Yakov CEO, President, Chairman +$598,907.25 1 1 buy
VAN DEN BOSCH FRED -$465,240 2 N/A
Kess Avrohom J. +$396,762 1 1 buy
GAVIN JOHN J JR +$112,700 1 1 buy
Bass David EVP Engineering and CTO +$69,940.6 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-10 4 4 +$1.2M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-10 Faitelson Yakov CEO, President, Chairman +$598,907.25 Transaction at $22.41, now +34.9%
2026-02-10 Bass David EVP Engineering and CTO +$69,940.6 Transaction at $23.47, now +28.8%
2026-02-10 Kess Avrohom J. +$396,762 Transaction at $22.29, now +35.7%
2026-02-10 GAVIN JOHN J JR +$112,700 Transaction at $22.54, now +34.2%
2025-08-15 Melamed Guy CFO and COO -$2.5M Transaction at $57.72, now -47.6%
2025-08-01 Melamed Guy CFO and COO -$2.9M Transaction at $55.10, now -45.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Varonis Systems (VRNS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VRNS on Trend Edge →