Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates AI Bearish with a Setup Score of 36, net conviction 47, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 36 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 47 |
| Actionability | 28 (in range) |
C3.ai, Inc. operates as an enterprise artificial intelligence application software company in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. It offers C3 agentic AI platform, an application development and runtime environment that enables customers to design, develop, and deploy enterprise AI applications; C3 AI Studio, an integrated development environment in the C3 Agentic AI Platform that enables enginee… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $9.16 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.40B |
| Float | 139.1M |
| Shares Outstanding | 151.9M |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 5.60 |
| vs. Analyst Target | -3.7% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | -187.95% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -213.82% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $250M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $8.82 (15 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $183M | -$55.7M | $139M | -$56.0M |
| 2022 | $253M | -$192M | $189M | -$186M |
| 2023 | $267M | -$269M | $180M | -$262M |
| 2024 | $311M | -$280M | $179M | -$266M |
| 2025 | $389M | -$289M | $236M | -$275M |
| 2026 | $250M | -$470M | $77.4M | -$456M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $70.3M | -$117M |
| Oct 2025 | $75.1M | -$105M |
| Jan 2026 | $53.3M | -$133M |
| Apr 2026 | $51.6M | -$116M |
| Insider Ownership | 4.8% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 58.5% |
| Short Float | 32.5% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 3.59% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 295 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $9.64 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $11.49 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $17.50 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $22.42 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $11.07 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $17.60 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $23.33 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $10.90 | resistance | 1.26x | 0 months ago |
| $10.90 | resistance | 1.02x | 4 months ago |
| $22.80 | resistance | 1.64x | 10 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -3.00% | -5.64% | 34.78% | 18.68% | -24.44% |
| 1 Day | 0.76% | -1.71% | 43.48% | 40.56% | -19.33% |
| 1 Week | -0.57% | 2.83% | 52.17% | 26.76% | -29.86% |
| 2 Weeks | 0.16% | -6.77% | 39.13% | 74.07% | -31.43% |
| 1 Month | -1.47% | -5.51% | 36.36% | 85.61% | -43.08% |
Next earnings: September 2, 2026 (50 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | -0.01% | 51.2% | 260 |
| Tuesday | 0.17% | 45.9% | 290 |
| Wednesday | 0.01% | 49.0% | 288 |
| Thursday | -0.58% | 44.0% | 282 |
| Friday | 0.21% | 47.5% | 280 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 58.5%
Total insider ownership: 4.8%
Founder-led management: Thomas Siebel (Executive Chairman)
| Total Filings | 41 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$45.4M |
| Net Shares Change | 3,791,095 |
| % of Float | 2.7% |
| C-Suite Filings | 32 |
| Clusters Detected | 5 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIEBEL THOMAS M | CEO and Chairman of the Board | +$68.4M | 2 | 2 sell |
| Lath Hitesh | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | -$511,526.54 | 2 | 2 sell |
| Ehikian Stephen Bradley | Chief Executive Officer | -$477,621.9 | 1 | 1 sell |
| Snabe Jim H. | +$221,500 | 2 | 2 buy, 1 sell | |
| Hyten John E. | -$73,000 | 3 | 3 sell |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 – 2025-12-17 | 4 | 3 | -$861,118.96 | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-01-02 – 2026-01-15 | 3 | 3 | -$9.8M | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-03-03 – 2026-03-17 | 5 | 4 | -$285,227.34 | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-03-19 – 2026-04-01 | 3 | 3 | -$3.8M | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-06-03 – 2026-06-17 | 4 | 3 | +$63.7M | 3 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Lath Hitesh | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | -$374,599.5 | Transaction at $10.95, now -16.3% |
| 2026-06-03 | SIEBEL THOMAS M | CEO and Chairman of the Board | +$68.6M | Transaction at $11.21, now -18.3% |
| 2026-07-02 | Ehikian Stephen Bradley | Chief Executive Officer | -$477,621.9 | Transaction at $9.45, now -3.1% |
| 2026-03-31 | Snabe Jim H. | -$3,500 | Transaction at $7.91, now +15.9% | |
| 2026-06-17 | Hyten John E. | -$27,575 | Transaction at $11.03, now -17.0% | |
| 2026-05-05 | SIEBEL THOMAS M | Executive Chairman | -$252,236.7 | Transaction at $9.27, now -1.2% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for C3 Ai Inc (AI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for AI on Trend Edge →