VNCE — Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VNCE Bullish with a Setup Score of 31, net conviction 26, actionability 37. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score31
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability37 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock

Vince Holding Corp. operates as a retail company in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer. The company offers women's products, including cashmere sweaters and silk blouses, as well as leather and suede jackets, dresses, skirts, pants, t-shirts, footwear, outerwear, and accessories; and men's products, such as cashmere sweaters, woven shirts, core and fashion pants, blazer… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.13
Market Cap$74.6M
Float4.1M
Shares Outstanding12.8M
P/E (Forward)10.32
P/E (TTM)8.67
Price/Sales (TTM)0.24
vs. Analyst Target+46.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.13%
Revenue (TTM)$306M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-39.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $220M -$63.9M $88.6M -$52.1M
2022 $323M -$12.7M $140M $6.8M
2023 $357M -$38.3M $130M -$17.2M
2024 $293M $25.4M $133M $36.6M
2025 $293M -$19.0M $145M -$12.5M
2026 $300M $6.4M $149M $13.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $73.2M $12.1M
Nov 2025 $85.1M $2.7M
Feb 2026 $83.7M -$3.6M
May 2026 $64.0M -$2.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership58.2%
Institutional Ownership14.4%
Short Float1.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.40%
Number of Funds Holding35

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.50Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.27Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.41Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.50 support 4.10x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (51 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.97% 0.00% 43.14% 112.65% -35.06%
1 Day -1.34% -1.35% 35.29% 89.16% -43.47%
1 Week -3.37% -5.15% 35.29% 58.58% -58.00%
2 Weeks -1.40% -5.71% 31.37% 119.53% -68.00%
1 Month 4.85% -4.69% 42.00% 268.80% -56.53%

Next earnings: September 9, 2026 (14 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.5%38.5%13
Feb-1.6%46.2%13
Mar-9.4%30.8%13
Apr7.5%53.8%13
May-7.8%38.5%13
Jun0.3%38.5%13
Jul-3.3%38.5%13
Aug0.9%50.0%12
Sep6.4%41.7%12
Oct-0.1%41.7%12
Nov3.3%50.0%12
Dec22.2%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 46.8% 602
Tuesday -0.23% 42.8% 661
Wednesday 0.18% 47.6% 656
Thursday 0.12% 43.5% 644
Friday 0.12% 47.3% 641

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 58.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-11,322
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Ulasewicz Eugenia -$49,137.48 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-29 Ulasewicz Eugenia -$49,137.48 Transaction at $4.34, now +41.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock (VNCE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VNCE on Trend Edge →