VIAV — Viavi Solutions Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VIAV Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Viavi Solutions Inc

Viavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions for telecommunications, cloud, enterprises, first responders, military, aerospace, and critical infrastructures in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Network and Service Enablement (NSE) and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.08
Market Cap$10.58B
Float231.5M
Shares Outstanding246.7M
P/E (Forward)32.57
Price/Sales (TTM)7.75
vs. Analyst Target+49.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-4.03%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.19%
Revenue (TTM)$1.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-68.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$64.57 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.14B $28.7M $630M $236M
2021 $1.20B $67.5M $681M $248M
2022 $1.29B $15.5M $764M $164M
2023 $1.11B $25.5M $630M $157M
2024 $1.00B -$25.8M $570M $101M
2025 $1.08B $34.8M $616M $132M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $291M $8.0M
Sep 2025 $299M -$21.4M
Dec 2025 $369M -$48.1M
Mar 2026 $407M $6.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float6.4%
% of All Funds Holding5.35%
Number of Funds Holding440

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$48.13Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.92Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$20.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.15Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$22.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.60 support 1.47x 2 months ago
$24.20 support 1.35x 4 months ago
$18.10 support 1.51x 5 months ago
$12.60 support 1.70x 8 months ago
$11.30 support 1.16x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.46% 0.28% 51.22% 31.76% -19.53%
1 Day -0.14% -0.74% 44.72% 26.94% -23.20%
1 Week 0.69% -0.43% 47.15% 57.06% -28.30%
2 Weeks 0.22% 0.55% 50.41% 48.41% -43.33%
1 Month 2.48% 2.57% 58.20% 57.11% -56.50%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%54.5%33
Feb4.1%54.5%33
Mar1.4%48.5%33
Apr1.6%48.5%33
May-1.0%51.5%33
Jun1.7%54.5%33
Jul-2.1%40.6%32
Aug2.7%50.0%32
Sep2.3%59.4%32
Oct2.0%50.0%32
Nov6.0%62.5%32
Dec3.7%51.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 46.7% 1544
Tuesday 0.04% 47.1% 1686
Wednesday 0.30% 50.8% 1684
Thursday 0.12% 49.4% 1652
Friday 0.11% 47.3% 1644

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings43
Net Value-$45.9M
Net Shares Change-1,737,784
% of Float-0.8%
C-Suite Filings30
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$23.8M 4 6 sell
BELLUZZO RICHARD -$2.7M 1 1 sell
Staley Gary W SVP Global Sales NSE -$1.2M 1 1 sell
SCRIVANICH LUKE M SVP General Manager OSP -$566,729 1 1 sell
Gilstrap Doug -$550,000 1 1 sell
Siebert Kevin Christopher SVP Gen. Counsel & Secretary -$445,935.1 1 1 sell
McNab Paul EVP, Chief Mktg & Stgy Officer -$149,875.92 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-02 – 2025-09-03 3 3 -$742,112.95 2 C-suite
2025-09-25 – 2025-10-01 3 3 -$742,662.79 2 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-12 6 5 -$4.4M 3 C-suite
2025-12-01 – 2025-12-11 8 6 -$8.3M 6 C-suite
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 10 6 -$12.7M 9 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-03-02 4 4 -$1.5M 2 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-08 8 6 -$26.5M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-06 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$6.8M Transaction at $54.69, now -21.2%
2026-05-08 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$13.4M Transaction at $51.63, now -16.6%
2026-05-06 SCRIVANICH LUKE M SVP General Manager OSP -$566,729 Transaction at $53.00, now -18.7%
2026-05-06 McNab Paul EVP, Chief Mktg & Stgy Officer -$149,875.92 Transaction at $54.96, now -21.6%
2026-05-04 Siebert Kevin Christopher SVP Gen. Counsel & Secretary -$445,935.1 Transaction at $54.02, now -20.3%
2026-05-07 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$1.8M Transaction at $54.07, now -20.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Viavi Solutions Inc (VIAV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VIAV on Trend Edge →