VIAV — Viavi Solutions Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VIAV Bullish with a Setup Score of 60, net conviction 53, actionability 69. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score60
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction53
Actionability69 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Viavi Solutions Inc

Viavi Solutions Inc. engages in the provision of test and measurement and optical technologies for military, aerospace, railway and first responder communications in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates in two segments, Network and Service Enablement (NSE) and Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP). Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$38.78
Market Cap$9.51B
Float244.3M
Shares Outstanding246.7M
P/E (Forward)23.53
Price/Sales (TTM)6.27
vs. Analyst Target+58.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.00%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.31%
Revenue (TTM)$1.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)326.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$61.43 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.20B $67.5M $681M $248M
2022 $1.29B $15.5M $764M $164M
2023 $1.11B $25.5M $630M $157M
2024 $1.00B -$25.8M $570M $101M
2025 $1.08B $34.8M $616M $132M
2026 $1.52B -$30.4M $877M -$52.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $299M -$21.4M
Dec 2025 $369M -$48.1M
Mar 2026 $407M $6.4M
Jun 2026 $443M $32.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership100.0%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding6.41%
Number of Funds Holding564

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$40.74Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$15.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.18Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.60 support 1.47x 3 months ago
$24.20 support 1.35x 5 months ago
$18.10 support 1.51x 6 months ago
$12.60 support 1.70x 9 months ago
$11.30 support 1.16x 10 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.44% 0.24% 50.81% 31.76% -19.53%
1 Day -0.10% -0.73% 45.16% 26.94% -23.20%
1 Week 0.77% -0.22% 47.58% 57.06% -28.30%
2 Weeks 0.21% 0.27% 50.00% 48.41% -43.33%
1 Month 2.59% 2.65% 58.54% 57.11% -56.50%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (58 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.8%54.5%33
Feb4.1%54.5%33
Mar1.4%48.5%33
Apr1.6%48.5%33
May-1.0%51.5%33
Jun1.7%54.5%33
Jul-2.7%39.4%33
Aug2.7%50.0%32
Sep2.3%59.4%32
Oct2.0%50.0%32
Nov6.0%62.5%32
Dec3.7%51.5%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.7% 1551
Tuesday 0.03% 47.1% 1693
Wednesday 0.29% 50.7% 1691
Thursday 0.12% 49.4% 1659
Friday 0.11% 47.4% 1651

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings45
Net Value-$46.0M
Net Shares Change-1,811,994
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings31
Clusters Detected8

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$23.2M 4 7 sell
Black Laura A. -$3.3M 1 1 sell
SCRIVANICH LUKE M SVP General Manager OSP -$566,729 1 1 sell
Siebert Kevin Christopher SVP Gen. Counsel & Secretary -$445,935.1 1 1 sell
Solomon Joanne -$429,200 1 1 sell
McNab Paul EVP, Chief Mktg & Stgy Officer -$209,481.07 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-02 – 2025-09-03 3 3 -$742,112.95 2 C-suite
2025-09-25 – 2025-10-01 3 3 -$742,662.79 2 C-suite
2025-11-04 – 2025-11-12 6 5 -$4.4M 3 C-suite
2025-12-01 – 2025-12-11 8 6 -$8.3M 6 C-suite
2026-02-03 – 2026-02-17 10 6 -$12.7M 9 C-suite
2026-02-18 – 2026-03-02 4 4 -$1.5M 2 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-08 8 6 -$26.5M 6 C-suite
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-18 3 3 -$3.8M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 McNab Paul EVP, Chief Mktg & Stgy Officer -$59,605.15 Transaction at $37.37, now +3.8%
2026-08-18 Black Laura A. -$3.3M Transaction at $46.12, now -15.9%
2026-08-14 Solomon Joanne -$429,200 Transaction at $42.92, now -9.6%
2026-05-06 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$6.8M Transaction at $54.69, now -29.1%
2026-05-08 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$13.4M Transaction at $51.63, now -24.9%
2026-02-11 KHAYKIN OLEG President & CEO -$1.7M Transaction at $27.51, now +41.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Viavi Solutions Inc (VIAV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VIAV on Trend Edge →