UTI — Universal Technical Institute Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UTI Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 22, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Universal Technical Institute Inc

Universal Technical Institute, Inc. provides transportation, skilled trades, and healthcare education programs in the United States. It operates in two segments, UTI and Concorde. The company offers certificate, diploma, or degree programs. It also provides manufacturer specific advanced training programs, including student paid electives at its campuses; and manufacturer or dealer sponsored training at various campuses and dedicated training cen… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$48.45
Market Cap$2.68B
Float53.7M
Shares Outstanding55.1M
P/E (Forward)56.82
P/E (TTM)64.97
Price/Sales (TTM)3.09
vs. Analyst Target-9.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.91%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.15%
Revenue (TTM)$869M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-96.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$43.67 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $301M $8.0M $145M $34.8M
2021 $335M $14.6M $168M $45.1M
2022 $419M $25.8M $212M $55.0M
2023 $607M $12.3M $278M $73.6M
2024 $733M $42.0M $348M $117M
2025 $836M $63.0M $415M $147M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $204M $10.7M
Sep 2025 $222M $18.8M
Dec 2025 $221M $12.8M
Mar 2026 $221M $433,000

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.5%
Institutional Ownership101.5%
Short Float8.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.79%
Number of Funds Holding229

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$41.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.28Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$19.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.52Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$32.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.63Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$38.10 support 1.44x 0 months ago
$28.00 support 1.20x 4 months ago
$22.90 support 1.11x 6 months ago
$15.70 support 1.24x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (90 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.66% 0.06% 51.11% 15.22% -21.65%
1 Day -1.81% -0.50% 46.67% 18.70% -32.53%
1 Week -1.78% -0.54% 46.67% 34.30% -37.29%
2 Weeks -1.57% -1.12% 44.44% 31.27% -35.27%
1 Month -1.46% -1.27% 48.31% 35.00% -48.44%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%52.2%23
Feb3.4%60.9%23
Mar-0.1%47.8%23
Apr0.2%43.5%23
May-0.0%43.5%23
Jun-0.7%52.2%23
Jul-1.2%45.5%22
Aug-3.0%27.3%22
Sep-1.6%31.8%22
Oct2.9%54.5%22
Nov11.4%68.2%22
Dec1.4%50.0%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 46.7% 1062
Tuesday 0.14% 49.4% 1165
Wednesday 0.03% 50.1% 1165
Thursday 0.06% 49.4% 1141
Friday 0.05% 48.4% 1136

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$11.8M
Net Shares Change-2,053,061
% of Float-3.8%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Coliseum Capital Management, LLC -$124M 1 1 sell
Grant Jerome Alan Chief Executive Officer -$6.0M 2 2 sell
Smith Sherrell EVP, Chief Academic Officer -$3.9M 2 3 sell
Kevane Christopher E. EVP and Chief Legal Officer -$888,115.449 1 1 sell
Hitchcock Todd A EVP/COO -$615,945 1 1 sell
SRERE LINDA J -$548,800.5 1 1 sell
Prehn Kevin Concorde Division President -$181,800 1 1 sell
Kline Christine Senior Vice President and CAO -$155,476.3 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-18 5 4 -$5.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-30 Grant Jerome Alan Chief Executive Officer -$3.9M Transaction at $41.40, now +17.0%
2026-06-24 Prehn Kevin Concorde Division President -$181,800 Transaction at $40.00, now +21.1%
2026-03-04 Smith Sherrell EVP, Chief Academic Officer -$2.2M Transaction at $32.92, now +47.2%
2026-06-08 Kline Christine Senior Vice President and CAO -$155,476.3 Transaction at $44.42, now +9.1%
2026-06-10 Coliseum Capital Management, LLC -$124M Transaction at $41.40, now +17.0%
2026-05-13 SRERE LINDA J -$548,800.5 Transaction at $36.59, now +32.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UTI on Trend Edge →