UTI — Universal Technical Institute Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates UTI Bearish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 35, actionability 57. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability57 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Universal Technical Institute Inc

Universal Technical Institute, Inc. provides transportation, skilled trades, and healthcare education programs in the United States. It operates in two segments, UTI and Concorde. The company offers certificate, diploma, or degree programs. It also provides manufacturer specific advanced training programs, including student paid electives at its campuses; and manufacturer or dealer sponsored training at various campuses and dedicated training cen… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.64
Market Cap$1.12B
Float53.8M
Shares Outstanding55.1M
P/E (Forward)27.25
P/E (TTM)33.30
Price/Sales (TTM)1.27
vs. Analyst Target+88.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.99%
Revenue (TTM)$884M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-78.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$38.83 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $301M $8.0M $145M $34.8M
2021 $335M $14.6M $168M $45.1M
2022 $419M $25.8M $212M $55.0M
2023 $607M $12.3M $278M $73.6M
2024 $733M $42.0M $348M $117M
2025 $836M $63.0M $415M $147M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $222M $18.8M
Dec 2025 $221M $12.8M
Mar 2026 $221M $433,000
Jun 2026 $219M $2.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.5%
Institutional Ownership108.5%
Short Float10.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.98%
Number of Funds Holding262

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$22.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$32.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.19Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$20.81Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$31.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$30.55Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$23.40Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$39.00 resistance 2.06x 1 months ago
$47.00 resistance 1.12x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (91 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.94% 0.03% 50.55% 15.22% -26.72%
1 Day -2.17% -0.58% 46.15% 18.70% -34.22%
1 Week -2.19% -0.93% 46.15% 34.30% -39.01%
2 Weeks -2.06% -1.27% 43.96% 31.27% -45.91%
1 Month -1.38% -0.63% 48.89% 35.00% -48.44%

Next earnings: November 18, 2026 (38 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%52.2%23
Feb3.4%60.9%23
Mar-0.1%47.8%23
Apr0.2%43.5%23
May-0.0%43.5%23
Jun-0.7%52.2%23
Jul-1.5%43.5%23
Aug-4.9%26.1%23
Sep-2.1%30.4%23
Oct2.9%54.5%22
Nov11.4%68.2%22
Dec1.4%50.0%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 46.6% 1074
Tuesday 0.14% 49.3% 1178
Wednesday 0.02% 50.2% 1178
Thursday 0.03% 49.4% 1154
Friday 0.05% 48.2% 1149

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 108.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$11.8M
Net Shares Change-2,050,061
% of Float-3.8%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Coliseum Capital Management, LLC +$13.7M 1 1 buy
Grant Jerome Alan Chief Executive Officer -$3.9M 1 1 sell
Smith Sherrell EVP, Chief Academic Officer -$2.2M 1 2 sell
DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$334,696.8 6 6 buy
Prehn Kevin Concorde Division President -$181,800 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-18 5 4 -$5.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-30 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$19,677.5 Transaction at $19.68, now +4.9%
2026-09-23 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$19,833.3 Transaction at $19.83, now +4.1%
2026-08-12 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$225,676 Transaction at $28.21, now -26.8%
2026-08-31 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$21,800 Transaction at $21.80, now -5.3%
2026-08-27 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$21,765 Transaction at $21.77, now -5.2%
2026-08-14 DEVINCENZI ROBERT THOMAS +$25,945 Transaction at $25.95, now -20.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Universal Technical Institute Inc (UTI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for UTI on Trend Edge →