EDU — New Oriental Education & Technology

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EDU Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 16, actionability 64. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction16
Actionability64 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About New Oriental Education & Technology

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$55.80
Market Cap$9.48B
Float110.3M
Shares Outstanding159.1M
P/E (Forward)12.92
P/E (TTM)18.30
Price/Sales (TTM)1.60
vs. Analyst Target+31.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.61%
Revenue (TTM)$5.66B
Earnings Growth (YoY)791.40%
Dividend Rate1.2%
Analyst Target Price$73.30 (23 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $4.28B $334M $2.24B $552M
2022 $3.11B -$1.19B $1.35B -$834M
2023 $3.00B $177M $1.59B $425M
2024 $4.31B $310M $2.26B $542M
2025 $4.90B $372M $2.72B $595M
2026 $5.68B $477M $3.10B $646M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $1.52B $241M
Nov 2025 $1.19B $45.5M
Feb 2026 $1.42B $127M
May 2026 $1.53B $62.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.3%
Institutional Ownership33.5%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.90%
Number of Funds Holding167

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$53.47Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$51.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$56.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$53.89Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$51.92Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$59.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$47.00 support 1.05x 0 months ago
$62.00 resistance 1.17x 18 months ago
$75.00 resistance 1.22x 21 months ago
$76.00 resistance 1.17x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (80 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.38% 0.16% 55.00% 11.16% -4.79%
1 Day 0.43% 0.19% 51.25% 17.89% -6.80%
1 Week 1.68% 0.57% 57.50% 34.05% -11.03%
2 Weeks 2.03% 1.13% 58.75% 27.03% -16.00%
1 Month 2.30% 2.78% 60.76% 47.89% -36.09%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.0%40.0%20
Feb3.0%55.0%20
Mar2.3%60.0%20
Apr6.7%80.0%20
May-2.2%45.0%20
Jun4.4%55.0%20
Jul-1.2%60.0%20
Aug1.8%57.9%19
Sep3.9%57.9%19
Oct5.0%55.0%20
Nov3.1%60.0%20
Dec2.2%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 49.0% 941
Tuesday 0.30% 51.5% 1029
Wednesday 0.23% 52.8% 1028
Thursday 0.03% 49.0% 1008
Friday 0.04% 50.3% 1003

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 33.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.3%

Founder-led management: Yu Minhong (Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-72,170
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Zhou Chenggang -$4.0M 1 1 sell
Zhuge Yue -$128,909.284 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Zhou Chenggang -$4.0M Transaction at $56.73, now -1.6%
2026-08-03 Zhuge Yue -$128,909.284 Transaction at $59.41, now -6.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for New Oriental Education & Technology (EDU) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EDU on Trend Edge →