LRN — Stride Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LRN Bearish with a Setup Score of 24, net conviction 30, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score24
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Stride Inc

Stride, Inc., a technology company, provides an educational platform to deliver proprietary and third-party curriculum, software systems, and educational services in the United States. The company offers online coursework and content in software engineering, healthcare, and medical fields, as well as state customized versions of those courses, electives, and instructional supports; end-to-end platform includes single sign-on capability for conten… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$85.07
Market Cap$3.49B
Float39.7M
Shares Outstanding41.6M
P/E (Forward)9.83
P/E (TTM)11.79
Price/Sales (TTM)1.39
vs. Analyst Target+28.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.98%
Revenue (TTM)$2.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)69.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$109.00 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.54B $71.5M $535M $203M
2022 $1.69B $107M $596M $255M
2023 $1.84B $127M $647M $291M
2024 $2.04B $204M $764M $386M
2025 $2.41B $288M $944M $508M
2026 $2.52B $338M $951M $580M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $621M $68.8M
Dec 2025 $631M $99.5M
Mar 2026 $630M $88.5M
Jun 2026 $636M $81.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership116.2%
Short Float16.8%
% of All Funds Holding4.67%
Number of Funds Holding411

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$85.84Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$83.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$109.45Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$80.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$82.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$108.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$87.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$65.00 support 1.35x 6 months ago
$147.00 resistance 2.65x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 2.84% 1.06% 68.92% 31.07% -44.62%
1 Day 1.70% 1.17% 58.11% 39.11% -54.37%
1 Week 2.62% 1.81% 55.41% 45.87% -53.17%
2 Weeks 2.86% 2.91% 62.16% 54.23% -57.27%
1 Month 2.82% 4.23% 56.16% 61.19% -59.21%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.7%68.4%19
Feb3.9%57.9%19
Mar0.9%63.2%19
Apr9.5%84.2%19
May-0.6%42.1%19
Jun-0.1%47.4%19
Jul4.0%42.1%19
Aug0.1%55.6%18
Sep-0.8%50.0%18
Oct-7.8%33.3%18
Nov0.2%50.0%18
Dec0.3%55.6%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 49.5% 882
Tuesday -0.08% 49.6% 966
Wednesday 0.11% 51.1% 965
Thursday 0.27% 49.9% 946
Friday 0.23% 52.8% 941

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 116.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stride Inc (LRN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LRN on Trend Edge →