TRUP — Trupanion Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Trupanion Inc

Trupanion, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medical insurance for cats and dogs on subscription basis in the United States, Canada, Continental Europe, and Australia. The company operates in two segments, Subscription Business and Other Business. It serves pet owners and veterinarians. The company was formerly known as Vetinsurance International, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.15
Market Cap$953M
Float33.3M
Shares Outstanding43.6M
P/E (Forward)1,428.57
P/E (TTM)37.03
Price/Sales (TTM)0.64
vs. Analyst Target+79.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.24%
Revenue (TTM)$1.48B
Earnings Growth (YoY)235.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$39.75 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $502M -$5.8M $81.9M $2.7M
2021 $699M -$35.5M $104M -$23.2M
2022 $905M -$44.7M $122M -$29.0M
2023 $1.11B -$44.7M $131M -$20.5M
2024 $1.29B -$9.6M $179M $21.3M
2025 $1.44B $19.4M $410M $51.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $354M $9.4M
Sep 2025 $367M $5.9M
Dec 2025 $377M $5.6M
Mar 2026 $384M $4.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership15.7%
Institutional Ownership79.1%
Short Float11.1%
% of All Funds Holding2.20%
Number of Funds Holding181

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.67Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.58Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$39.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$38.98Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$33.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$35.70Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$31.90 resistance 1.21x 2 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (48 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.44% -1.24% 43.75% 16.92% -33.24%
1 Day -0.83% -0.58% 43.75% 23.49% -35.15%
1 Week 0.57% -1.41% 43.75% 47.41% -41.14%
2 Weeks 0.81% -2.80% 45.83% 43.05% -41.72%
1 Month 1.87% -0.89% 48.94% 45.42% -36.86%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.1%41.7%12
Feb-4.6%33.3%12
Mar-3.6%50.0%12
Apr-2.7%41.7%12
May10.5%81.8%11
Jun9.4%54.5%11
Jul9.3%63.6%11
Aug-2.4%25.0%12
Sep0.8%41.7%12
Oct-5.4%25.0%12
Nov13.6%75.0%12
Dec4.2%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.09% 49.5% 558
Tuesday 0.17% 49.3% 615
Wednesday 0.20% 47.6% 611
Thursday -0.05% 49.2% 598
Friday 0.05% 49.7% 598

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 79.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 15.7%

Founder-led management: Darryl Rawlings (Founder, CEO & Chair of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings26
Net Value-$4.0M
Net Shares Change-89,837
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings25
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
RAWLINGS DARRYL -$2.2M 1 1 sell
Qureshi Fawwad Chief Financial Officer -$400,754.181 2 N/A
GALLAGHER JOHN R Chief Operating Officer -$331,680.33 2 1 sell
MCGIBNEY BRENNA Chief Administration Officer -$219,868.3 1 1 sell
DREYER EMILY Chief Revenue Officer -$219,319.866 1 1 sell
Tooth Margaret CEO -$172,729.28 2 2 sell
WEINRAUCH STEVE EVP, North Am and Vet Strategy -$5,954.1 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-29 – 2025-06-10 4 3 -$359,862.47 4 C-suite
2025-08-26 – 2025-09-05 4 3 -$3.0M 3 C-suite
2025-11-26 – 2025-12-01 3 3 -$831,778.794 3 C-suite
2026-02-27 – 2026-03-06 5 4 -$583,765.093 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-27 Tooth Margaret CEO -$164,571.28 Transaction at $21.92, now +1.0%
2026-03-06 DREYER EMILY Chief Revenue Officer -$219,319.866 Transaction at $28.15, now -21.3%
2026-05-27 Qureshi Fawwad Chief Financial Officer -$257,418.631 Transaction at $22.06, now +0.4%
2026-02-27 WEINRAUCH STEVE EVP, North Am and Vet Strategy -$5,954.1 Transaction at $26.70, now -17.0%
2025-06-02 GALLAGHER JOHN R Chief Operating Officer -$191,600 Transaction at $47.90, now -53.8%
2026-03-03 GALLAGHER JOHN R Chief Operating Officer -$140,080.33 Transaction at $26.52, now -16.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Trupanion Inc (TRUP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TRUP on Trend Edge →