LMND — Lemonade Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Lemonade Inc

Lemonade, Inc. provides various insurance products in the United States, Europe, Louisiana, and the United Kingdom. The company provides renters and homeowners, building, car, pet, and life insurance products, as well as landlord insurance products. It also offers insurance for stolen or damaged property, and personal liability that protects its customers if they are responsible for an accident or damage to another person or their property. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$56.52
Market Cap$4.41B
Float71.2M
Shares Outstanding76.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)5.22
vs. Analyst Target+6.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-16.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)-11.01%
Revenue (TTM)$845M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$60.11 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $94.4M -$122M $20.4M -$119M
2021 $128M -$241M $22.9M -$230M
2022 $257M -$298M $28.4M -$283M
2023 $430M -$237M $90.2M -$210M
2024 $527M -$202M $173M -$184M
2025 $738M -$166M $297M -$146M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $164M -$43.9M
Sep 2025 $195M -$37.5M
Dec 2025 $228M -$21.7M
Mar 2026 $234M -$35.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.7%
Institutional Ownership59.5%
Short Float14.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.89%
Number of Funds Holding320

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$59.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$64.06Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$50.71Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$30.72Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$63.01Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$49.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.72Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$86.00 resistance 1.20x 2 months ago
$36.30 support 1.40x 8 months ago
$33.50 support 1.39x 10 months ago
$24.30 support 1.95x 17 months ago
$16.50 support 1.08x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.91% 0.64% 54.17% 26.00% -23.76%
1 Day 3.07% 0.83% 54.17% 47.00% -27.72%
1 Week 4.93% -0.63% 50.00% 47.54% -32.21%
2 Weeks 4.56% -1.10% 50.00% 69.12% -36.29%
1 Month 13.54% 1.50% 52.17% 140.43% -36.61%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (69 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.31% 47.5% 276
Tuesday 0.19% 45.2% 305
Wednesday -0.02% 48.8% 303
Thursday 0.22% 46.1% 295
Friday -0.06% 45.9% 296

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 59.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.7%

Founder-led management: Daniel Schreiber (CO-Founder, Chairman & CEO), Shai Wininger (Co-Founder, President & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings39
Net Value-$31.2M
Net Shares Change-278,745
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings37
Clusters Detected6

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BIXBY TIMOTHY E Chief Financial Officer -$2.6M 3 3 sell
Angelidis-Smith Maria +$485,478 1 2 buy
Peters John Sheldon Chief Insurance Officer -$424,698.12 2 2 sell
Schwartz Debra -$351,078 1 1 sell
Prosor Maya Chief Business Officer -$39,775.16 3 3 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-05 – 2025-06-18 7 3 -$593,756 7 C-suite
2025-06-25 – 2025-07-09 5 3 -$997,748.82 5 C-suite
2025-09-05 – 2025-09-05 3 3 -$297,308.04 3 C-suite
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-24 3 3 -$6.1M 3 C-suite
2025-12-04 – 2025-12-15 8 5 -$6.3M 7 C-suite
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-05 3 3 -$394,523.338 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-30 Angelidis-Smith Maria +$485,478 Transaction at $55.50, now +1.8%
2026-03-05 Prosor Maya Chief Business Officer -$11,176.76 Transaction at $50.12, now +12.8%
2026-03-05 BIXBY TIMOTHY E Chief Financial Officer -$107,006.2 Transaction at $50.12, now +12.8%
2025-12-11 Peters John Sheldon Chief Insurance Officer -$287,874 Transaction at $81.00, now -30.2%
2025-12-15 Schwartz Debra -$351,078 Transaction at $83.59, now -32.4%
2025-12-04 Prosor Maya Chief Business Officer -$14,402.52 Transaction at $72.74, now -22.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lemonade Inc (LMND) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LMND on Trend Edge →