SWK — Stanley Black & Decker Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Stanley Black & Decker Inc

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. provides hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and related accessories in the United States, Canada, Other Americas, Europe, and Asia. Its Tools & Outdoor segment offers professional grade corded and cordless electric power tools and equipment, including drills, impact wrenches and drivers, grinders, saws, routers, concrete prep and placement tools, and sanders; pneumatic tools and fasteners, such as nail guns, n… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$78.93
Market Cap$11.74B
Float155.0M
Shares Outstanding155.5M
P/E (Forward)13.99
P/E (TTM)30.96
Price/Sales (TTM)0.77
vs. Analyst Target+14.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.44%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.44%
Revenue (TTM)$15.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-34.80%
Dividend Rate3.3%
Analyst Target Price$90.51 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $14.53B $1.23B $4.97B $2.24B
2021 $15.28B $1.69B $5.08B $2.35B
2022 $16.95B -$134M $4.10B $943M
2023 $15.78B -$282M $4.10B $803M
2024 $15.37B $286M $4.60B $1.32B
2025 $15.13B $402M $4.52B $1.27B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.95B $102M
Sep 2025 $3.76B $51.4M
Dec 2025 $3.68B $158M
Mar 2026 $3.85B $59.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership95.0%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding8.25%
Number of Funds Holding678

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$74.78Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$75.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$75.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$83.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$75.54Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$76.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$84.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$72.00 support 1.26x 0 months ago
$87.00 resistance 1.17x 13 months ago
$89.00 resistance 1.13x 16 months ago
$110.00 resistance 1.11x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.28% -0.10% 38.84% 2.61% -5.09%
1 Day -0.06% -0.35% 42.98% 8.37% -7.72%
1 Week 0.68% 0.47% 53.72% 18.51% -12.42%
2 Weeks 1.26% 1.30% 59.50% 36.04% -12.07%
1 Month 1.00% 1.35% 58.33% 29.55% -29.81%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%50.0%46
Feb1.4%60.9%46
Mar0.5%54.3%46
Apr1.1%55.3%47
May0.0%56.5%46
Jun-0.8%37.0%46
Jul2.0%54.3%46
Aug0.3%50.0%46
Sep-1.6%43.5%46
Oct0.2%58.7%46
Nov3.0%76.1%46
Dec2.4%63.0%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 47.3% 2200
Tuesday 0.07% 47.1% 2388
Wednesday 0.08% 48.5% 2386
Thursday 0.01% 46.2% 2340
Friday 0.07% 49.1% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$812,763.512
Net Shares Change-11,766
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Link Janet SVP, General Counsel and Sec'y -$812,763.512 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-06 Link Janet SVP, General Counsel and Sec'y -$812,763.512 Transaction at $69.08, now +14.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SWK on Trend Edge →