Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates RBC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 57, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
0
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
57
Actionability
0 (no mans land)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 546 vs px 496)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 460 vs px 496)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 339 vs px 496)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +5.20 · 6.81→7.76
Seasonal Tailwind — november med 3.8% (mag 1/3) · posClose 66.67% (rel 1/3) · n21 ×0.5 = 2.5
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Hidden Gem — stWatch 519
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings Incorporated manufactures and markets engineered precision bearings, components, and systems in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial. The company produces plain bearings with self-lubricating or metal-to-metal designs, including rod end bearings, spherical plain bearings, and journal bearings; roller bearings, such as tapered roller bearings, needle roller bearings,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Tools & Accessories
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: March 27, 1987
Headquarters: One Tribology Center, Oxford, CT, United States, 06478
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Michael J. Hartnett (Chairman, President & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$496.01
Market Cap
$15.98B
Float
29.3M
Shares Outstanding
31.7M
P/E (Forward)
38.46
P/E (TTM)
51.54
Price/Sales (TTM)
8.17
vs. Analyst Target
+27.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
16.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)
27.18%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.95B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.50%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$632.29 (9 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2021
$609M
$90.1M
$234M
$147M
2022
$943M
$54.7M
$357M
$186M
2023
$1.47B
$167M
$605M
$402M
2024
$1.56B
$210M
$671M
$460M
2025
$1.64B
$246M
$726M
$492M
2026
$1.87B
$288M
$830M
$548M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$455M
$60.0M
Dec 2025
$462M
$67.4M
Mar 2026
$518M
$91.7M
Jun 2026
$520M
$102M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.6%
Institutional Ownership
102.4%
Short Float
1.7%
% of All Funds Holding
7.76%
Number of Funds Holding
683
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$568.14
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$545.78
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$459.93
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$339.43
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$537.45
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$453.98
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$359.31
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$639.00
resistance
1.11x
0 months ago
$387.00
support
1.59x
9 months ago
$332.00
support
1.00x
14 months ago
$280.00
support
1.03x
20 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.16%
0.25%
60.00%
4.48%
-4.33%
1 Day
0.88%
0.46%
62.35%
9.79%
-6.12%
1 Week
1.97%
0.97%
57.65%
22.44%
-11.09%
2 Weeks
2.07%
1.70%
64.71%
44.77%
-17.59%
1 Month
2.04%
1.58%
61.90%
41.38%
-31.91%
Next earnings: October 19, 2026 (54 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-1.1%
38.1%
21
Feb
3.6%
76.2%
21
Mar
1.8%
66.7%
21
Apr
2.7%
61.9%
21
May
1.6%
57.1%
21
Jun
2.1%
66.7%
21
Jul
2.4%
57.1%
21
Aug
1.2%
55.0%
20
Sep
0.7%
57.1%
21
Oct
1.9%
47.6%
21
Nov
5.3%
66.7%
21
Dec
0.3%
57.1%
21
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.07%
49.6%
992
Tuesday
0.12%
50.5%
1086
Wednesday
0.07%
52.1%
1086
Thursday
0.10%
51.4%
1066
Friday
0.12%
52.4%
1061
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 102.4%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.6%
Founder-led management: Michael J. Hartnett (Chairman, President & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RBC Bearings Incorporated
(RBC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.