KMT — Kennametal Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KMT Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 49, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction49
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kennametal Inc

Kennametal Inc. engages in development and application of tungsten carbides, ceramics, and hard materials and solutions worldwide. It operates through two segments, Metal Cutting and Infrastructure. The Metal Cutting segment provides milling, hole making, turning, threading, and toolmaking systems used in the manufacture of airframes, aero engines, trucks and automobiles, ships, and various types of industrial equipment under the Kennametal, WIDI… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.92
Market Cap$2.42B
Float75.2M
Shares Outstanding76.4M
P/E (Forward)21.37
P/E (TTM)7.17
Price/Sales (TTM)1.03
vs. Analyst Target+1.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.53%
Operating Margin (TTM)41.25%
Revenue (TTM)$2.36B
Earnings Growth (YoY)928.70%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$32.43 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.84B $54.4M $552M $238M
2022 $2.01B $145M $648M $364M
2023 $2.08B $118M $646M $322M
2024 $2.05B $109M $627M $306M
2025 $1.97B $93.1M $598M $293M
2026 $2.36B $342M $970M $633M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $498M $23.3M
Dec 2025 $530M $33.9M
Mar 2026 $593M $58.2M
Jun 2026 $737M $227M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership109.5%
Short Float8.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.84%
Number of Funds Holding338

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$34.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$28.91Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$26.81Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$34.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$28.69Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$26.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$34.00 resistance 1.40x 1 months ago
$38.50 resistance 1.36x 4 months ago
$39.50 resistance 1.52x 6 months ago
$28.70 support 1.03x 8 months ago
$19.60 support 1.05x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.17% 0.00% 48.39% 10.67% -12.14%
1 Day -0.39% -0.47% 41.94% 9.41% -11.08%
1 Week 0.04% -0.23% 47.58% 26.19% -18.70%
2 Weeks 0.86% -0.31% 48.39% 45.83% -18.60%
1 Month 1.00% 0.87% 52.85% 42.86% -21.40%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%50.0%50
Feb-0.1%50.0%50
Mar-0.2%41.2%51
Apr5.5%64.7%51
May-0.3%51.0%51
Jun-1.6%47.1%51
Jul0.6%51.0%51
Aug-0.1%47.1%51
Sep-0.6%52.9%51
Oct0.1%48.0%50
Nov4.4%62.0%50
Dec1.6%62.0%50

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 46.1% 2402
Tuesday 0.09% 46.8% 2605
Wednesday 0.07% 46.2% 2606
Thursday 0.05% 47.2% 2556
Friday 0.06% 47.2% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 109.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$4.5M
Net Shares Change-148,404
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings9
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bacchus Judith L Vice President -$2.1M 3 3 sell
Keating Michelle R Vice President -$1.6M 2 2 sell
Reilly Carlonda R. Vice President -$884,877.339 2 2 sell
Chowbey Sanjay President and CEO +$203,700 1 1 buy
Witt John Wayne Vice President -$193,737.28 1 1 sell
HARSHMAN RICHARD J +$151,050 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-12 – 2026-02-20 3 3 -$2.8M 3 C-suite
2026-06-03 – 2026-06-16 3 3 -$1.6M 2 C-suite
2026-09-08 – 2026-09-11 4 4 -$549,085.068 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-11 Chowbey Sanjay President and CEO +$203,700 Transaction at $29.10, now +9.7%
2026-09-08 HARSHMAN RICHARD J +$151,050 Transaction at $30.21, now +5.7%
2026-09-09 Bacchus Judith L Vice President -$293,115.068 Transaction at $30.29, now +5.4%
2026-09-08 Keating Michelle R Vice President -$610,720 Transaction at $30.54, now +4.5%
2026-06-16 Bacchus Judith L Vice President -$197,238.72 Transaction at $35.94, now -11.2%
2026-06-03 Reilly Carlonda R. Vice President -$397,906.599 Transaction at $33.12, now -3.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kennametal Inc (KMT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KMT on Trend Edge →