STGW — Stagwell Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Stagwell Inc

Stagwell Inc. provides digital transformation, marketing, media and commerce, marketing cloud, and communications services in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers creative, research, experiential, and social media solutions designed to build and elevate brands; and consumer insights through advanced research methodologies, creating immersive experiential marketing programs and social engagement strategies… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$6.99
Market Cap$1.53B
Float104.0M
Shares Outstanding247.9M
P/E (Forward)6.09
P/E (TTM)88.07
Price/Sales (TTM)0.52
vs. Analyst Target+18.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.64%
Operating Margin (TTM)2.83%
Revenue (TTM)$2.96B
Earnings Growth (YoY)65.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.25 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $888M $56.4M $316M $125M
2021 $1.47B $21.0M $563M $228M
2022 $2.69B $19.9M $1.01B $360M
2023 $2.53B $134,000 $906M $401M
2024 $2.84B $2.3M $998M $357M
2025 $2.91B $29.1M $1.06B $398M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $707M -$5.3M
Sep 2025 $743M $24.6M
Dec 2025 $807M $12.7M
Mar 2026 $704M -$13.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership58.8%
Institutional Ownership44.9%
Short Float9.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.02%
Number of Funds Holding166

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.17Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.67Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.82Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.90 support 1.16x 1 months ago
$4.80 support 3.27x 5 months ago
$4.50 support 1.88x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (114 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.91% 0.00% 49.12% 13.37% -53.57%
1 Day -0.62% 0.00% 48.25% 24.26% -59.52%
1 Week -1.74% -1.98% 35.09% 34.85% -44.64%
2 Weeks -1.69% -2.61% 38.60% 38.16% -36.50%
1 Month 0.11% 0.00% 47.79% 83.56% -47.80%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%48.4%31
Feb3.0%58.1%31
Mar1.8%51.6%31
Apr3.0%45.2%31
May2.3%51.6%31
Jun1.3%48.4%31
Jul2.6%48.4%31
Aug-4.8%35.5%31
Sep0.6%48.4%31
Oct-0.0%51.6%31
Nov-0.2%41.9%31
Dec3.9%67.7%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 45.5% 1471
Tuesday -0.08% 43.8% 1608
Wednesday 0.15% 44.0% 1606
Thursday -0.10% 44.5% 1574
Friday 0.24% 47.8% 1569

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 58.8%

Founder-led management: Mark Penn (Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings15
Net Value-$36.7M
Net Shares Change-7,585,517
% of Float-7.3%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Penn Mark Jeffery Chief Executive Officer -$29.2M 3 1 buy, 2 sell
Gross Bradley J. -$13.1M 1 1 sell
Leveton Jay President -$4.4M 2 2 sell
Greene Ryan Chief Financial Officer -$2.5M 1 1 sell
Lanuto Frank P EVP, Finance -$469,475.432 2 2 sell
McElligott Peter General Counsel -$48,783.22 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-03 – 2025-06-06 4 4 +$3.0M 1 C-suite
2026-03-05 – 2026-03-13 9 5 -$36.8M 9 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 Penn Mark Jeffery Chief Executive Officer +$117,600 Transaction at $5.88, now +18.9%
2026-05-05 Gross Bradley J. -$13.1M Transaction at $6.04, now +15.7%
2026-03-13 Penn Mark Jeffery Chief Executive Officer -$28.2M Transaction at $6.17, now +13.3%
2026-03-13 Leveton Jay President -$4.1M Transaction at $6.17, now +13.3%
2026-03-13 Greene Ryan Chief Financial Officer -$2.5M Transaction at $6.17, now +13.3%
2026-03-05 McElligott Peter General Counsel -$48,783.22 Transaction at $4.82, now +45.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Stagwell Inc (STGW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for STGW on Trend Edge →