SJT — San Juan Basin Royalty Trust

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About San Juan Basin Royalty Trust

San Juan Basin Royalty Trust operates as an express trust in Texas. It has a 75% net overriding royalty interest in Southland's oil and natural gas interests in properties located in the San Juan Basin in northwestern New Mexico. The company also owns subject interests consist of working interests, royalty interests, overriding royalty interests, and other contractual rights in 119,000 net-producing acres in San Juan, Rio Arriba, and Sandoval Cou… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.05
Market Cap$190M
Float39.6M
Shares Outstanding46.6M
P/E (Forward)11.59
Price/Sales (TTM)49,393.22
vs. Analyst Target+406.2% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-184887.56%
Revenue (TTM)$3,850
Earnings Growth (YoY)-88.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$20.50

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.8M $7.4M $8.8M $7.4M
2021 $37.6M $36.0M $37.6M $36.0M
2022 $79.0M $77.6M $79.0M $78.3M
2023 $53.4M $51.6M $53.4M $51.5M
2024 $7.0M $5.2M $6.9M $5.2M
2025 $11,887 -$387,808 $11,887 -$387,808

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2,985 -$162,783
Sep 2025 $385 -$111,352
Dec 2025 $279 -$113,673
Mar 2026 $201 -$362,706

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership37.1%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding0.97%
Number of Funds Holding80

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.38Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.21Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$5.71Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 40.00% 4.02% -3.34%
1 Day 0.02% 0.13% 51.82% 7.09% -8.15%
1 Week 0.13% 0.00% 48.18% 27.03% -13.51%
2 Weeks -0.32% -0.24% 45.45% 25.62% -27.91%
1 Month 0.47% 0.08% 50.91% 38.65% -38.88%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (70 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.5%54.3%46
Feb-0.3%50.0%46
Mar2.3%54.3%46
Apr0.1%43.5%46
May1.8%53.3%45
Jun-2.1%46.7%45
Jul1.3%46.7%45
Aug-0.4%51.1%45
Sep1.3%51.1%45
Oct0.8%48.9%45
Nov-0.6%34.8%46
Dec-2.6%32.6%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 40.5% 2171
Tuesday -0.00% 43.1% 2357
Wednesday 0.11% 41.7% 2354
Thursday -0.05% 40.1% 2308
Friday 0.11% 42.6% 2296

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (SJT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SJT on Trend Edge →