SIGI — Selective Insurance Group, Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Selective Insurance Group, Inc.

Selective Insurance Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance products and services in the United States. The company operates through four segments: Standard Commercial Lines, Standard Personal Lines, E&S Lines, and Investments. It offers casualty insurance products that covers the financial consequences of third-party bodily injury and/or property damage from an insured's negligent acts, omissions, and legal liabilities; p… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$89.40
Market Cap$5.43B
Float55.4M
Shares Outstanding59.9M
P/E (Forward)10.82
P/E (TTM)12.21
Price/Sales (TTM)1.00
vs. Analyst Target+0.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.39%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.11%
Revenue (TTM)$5.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-10.20%
Dividend Rate1.7%
Analyst Target Price$90.14 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.92B $246M $359M $393M
2021 $3.38B $404M $563M $590M
2022 $3.56B $225M $340M $351M
2023 $4.23B $365M $518M $517M
2024 $4.86B $207M $321M $322M
2025 $5.34B $466M $2.18B $672M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.33B $85.9M
Sep 2025 $1.36B $115M
Dec 2025 $1.36B $155M
Mar 2026 $1.35B $97.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership87.8%
Short Float2.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.19%
Number of Funds Holding344

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$83.20Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$81.43Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$84.54Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$91.40Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$81.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$85.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$92.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$76.00 support 1.11x 0 months ago
$91.00 resistance 1.07x 12 months ago
$94.00 resistance 1.04x 15 months ago
$108.00 resistance 1.13x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.39% 0.00% 47.97% 12.07% -15.64%
1 Day -0.40% 0.00% 49.59% 16.40% -23.69%
1 Week 0.26% 1.10% 54.47% 18.34% -28.05%
2 Weeks 0.62% 0.87% 56.10% 17.62% -31.48%
1 Month 0.63% -0.24% 47.54% 23.55% -45.84%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.7%45.7%46
Feb2.1%65.2%46
Mar2.6%63.0%46
Apr1.3%57.4%47
May-0.8%50.0%46
Jun1.2%56.5%46
Jul0.8%63.0%46
Aug1.1%52.2%46
Sep-0.1%56.5%46
Oct3.2%60.9%46
Nov2.2%58.7%46
Dec0.5%43.5%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 43.7% 2200
Tuesday 0.09% 46.2% 2388
Wednesday 0.09% 45.4% 2386
Thursday 0.09% 46.8% 2340
Friday 0.06% 45.2% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 87.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value+$388,221.228
Net Shares Change11,883
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Marchioni John J. President and CEO +$249,248 1 1 buy
Brennan Patrick Sean EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$205,658.73 1 1 buy
McCarthy Thomas A +$193,550 1 1 buy
Harnett Anthony D. SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$174,387.142 2 2 sell
Cavanaugh Terrence W +$151,430 1 1 buy
DOHERTY ROBERT KELLY +$115,500 1 1 buy
Eppers Joseph EVP, Chief Investment Officer +$107,701.64 1 1 buy
Bacus Lisa R +$50,886 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-07-25 – 2025-08-01 5 5 +$817,429.64 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-27 Brennan Patrick Sean EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$205,658.73 Transaction at $76.17, now +17.4%
2025-07-25 Eppers Joseph EVP, Chief Investment Officer +$107,701.64 Transaction at $76.82, now +16.4%
2026-02-03 Bacus Lisa R +$50,886 Transaction at $84.81, now +5.4%
2025-07-28 Marchioni John J. President and CEO +$249,248 Transaction at $77.89, now +14.8%
2025-07-29 McCarthy Thomas A +$193,550 Transaction at $77.42, now +15.5%
2025-08-01 DOHERTY ROBERT KELLY +$115,500 Transaction at $77.00, now +16.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (SIGI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SIGI on Trend Edge →