SHW — Sherwin-Williams Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SHW Bearish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 31, actionability 54. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction31
Actionability54 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Sherwin-Williams Co

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and r… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$333.99
Market Cap$81.89B
Float228.6M
Shares Outstanding246.6M
P/E (Forward)28.09
P/E (TTM)31.74
Price/Sales (TTM)3.42
vs. Analyst Target+13.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.16%
Revenue (TTM)$23.94B
Earnings Growth (YoY)7.50%
Dividend Rate3.2%
Analyst Target Price$378.90 (28 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.36B $2.03B $8.68B $3.44B
2021 $19.94B $1.86B $8.54B $3.16B
2022 $22.15B $2.02B $9.33B $3.54B
2023 $23.05B $2.39B $10.76B $3.69B
2024 $23.10B $2.68B $11.20B $4.49B
2025 $23.57B $2.57B $11.54B $4.40B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $6.31B $755M
Sep 2025 $6.36B $833M
Dec 2025 $5.60B $477M
Mar 2026 $5.67B $535M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.3%
Institutional Ownership82.9%
Short Float4.0%
% of All Funds Holding19.32%
Number of Funds Holding1,588

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$320.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$333.19Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$341.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$307.95Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$335.42Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$343.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$324.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$300.00 support 1.47x 0 months ago
$355.00 resistance 1.01x 3 months ago
$299.00 support 1.23x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% 0.00% 47.93% 5.10% -3.70%
1 Day 0.19% 0.02% 51.24% 4.98% -3.94%
1 Week 0.67% 0.64% 59.50% 11.94% -8.16%
2 Weeks 1.62% 1.38% 63.64% 23.88% -10.77%
1 Month 2.38% 1.87% 68.33% 21.89% -15.51%

Next earnings: July 28, 2026 (15 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%56.5%46
Feb0.7%56.5%46
Mar3.6%65.2%46
Apr3.2%68.1%47
May0.7%48.9%47
Jun-0.6%44.7%47
Jul2.2%56.5%46
Aug0.6%52.2%46
Sep-1.2%43.5%46
Oct2.6%52.2%46
Nov4.1%76.1%46
Dec1.8%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.2% 2206
Tuesday 0.13% 48.4% 2394
Wednesday 0.09% 48.4% 2392
Thursday 0.09% 48.6% 2346
Friday 0.09% 50.8% 2330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change-2,513
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Young Bryan J SVP - Corp Strategy & Devel. -$915,913.11 1 1 sell
Davie Colin M. Pres. & GM, Glob. Supply Chain -$689,003.52 1 1 sell
Binns Justin T President, Glob. Architectural -$175,982.73 1 1 sell
Lang James P. SVP - Enterprise Finance & CAO -$140,610 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-25 Young Bryan J SVP - Corp Strategy & Devel. -$915,913.11 Transaction at $364.47, now -8.4%
2026-02-04 Davie Colin M. Pres. & GM, Glob. Supply Chain -$689,003.52 Transaction at $243.74, now +37.0%
2025-08-27 Binns Justin T President, Glob. Architectural -$175,982.73 Transaction at $224.33, now +48.9%
2025-08-08 Lang James P. SVP - Enterprise Finance & CAO -$140,610 Transaction at $268.60, now +24.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SHW on Trend Edge →