SHW — Sherwin-Williams Co

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SHW Bullish with a Setup Score of 11, net conviction 18, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score11
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction18
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Sherwin-Williams Co

The Sherwin-Williams Company engages in the development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of paint, coatings, and related products to professional, industrial, commercial and retail customers. The company operates through three segments: Paint Stores Group, Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group. The Paint Stores Group segment offers architectural paint and coatings; protective and marine products; and OEM product finishes and r… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$350.45
Market Cap$84.22B
Float224.7M
Shares Outstanding242.8M
P/E (Forward)29.76
P/E (TTM)32.57
Price/Sales (TTM)3.45
vs. Analyst Target+11.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.01%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.12%
Revenue (TTM)$24.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)14.30%
Dividend Rate3.2%
Analyst Target Price$390.57 (28 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $18.36B $2.03B $8.68B $3.44B
2021 $19.94B $1.86B $8.54B $3.16B
2022 $22.15B $2.02B $9.33B $3.54B
2023 $23.05B $2.39B $10.76B $3.69B
2024 $23.10B $2.68B $11.20B $4.49B
2025 $23.57B $2.57B $11.54B $4.40B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $6.36B $833M
Dec 2025 $5.60B $477M
Mar 2026 $5.67B $535M
Jun 2026 $6.79B $844M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.4%
Institutional Ownership85.9%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding19.69%
Number of Funds Holding1,732

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$344.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$334.78Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$340.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$312.63Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$336.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$343.96Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$327.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$300.00 support 1.47x 1 months ago
$355.00 resistance 1.01x 4 months ago
$299.00 support 1.23x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.04% 0.00% 47.54% 5.10% -3.70%
1 Day 0.16% 0.02% 50.82% 4.98% -3.94%
1 Week 0.70% 0.71% 59.84% 11.94% -8.16%
2 Weeks 1.62% 1.42% 63.93% 23.88% -10.77%
1 Month 2.28% 1.84% 67.77% 21.89% -15.51%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%56.5%46
Feb0.7%56.5%46
Mar3.6%65.2%46
Apr3.2%68.1%47
May0.7%48.9%47
Jun-0.6%44.7%47
Jul2.2%55.3%47
Aug0.6%52.2%46
Sep-1.2%43.5%46
Oct2.6%52.2%46
Nov4.1%76.1%46
Dec1.8%58.7%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 47.2% 2213
Tuesday 0.13% 48.4% 2401
Wednesday 0.09% 48.4% 2399
Thursday 0.08% 48.6% 2353
Friday 0.09% 50.7% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 85.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$8.2M
Net Shares Change-11,122
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Binns Justin T President, Glob. Architectural -$3.7M 2 2 sell
Jorgenrud Karl J President, Glob. Industrial -$2.9M 1 1 sell
Young Bryan J SVP - Corp Strategy & Devel. -$915,913.11 1 1 sell
Davie Colin M. Pres. & GM, Glob. Supply Chain -$689,003.52 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Jorgenrud Karl J President, Glob. Industrial -$2.9M Transaction at $248.14, now +41.2%
2026-08-19 Binns Justin T President, Glob. Architectural -$3.5M Transaction at $221.37, now +58.3%
2026-02-25 Young Bryan J SVP - Corp Strategy & Devel. -$915,913.11 Transaction at $364.47, now -3.8%
2026-02-04 Davie Colin M. Pres. & GM, Glob. Supply Chain -$689,003.52 Transaction at $243.74, now +43.8%
2025-08-27 Binns Justin T President, Glob. Architectural -$175,982.73 Transaction at $224.33, now +56.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SHW on Trend Edge →