200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 1.48 vs px 1.32)
Funds Distributing — momZ +0.28 · 1.73→1.67
Seasonal Headwind — november med -6% (mag 2/3) · posClose 26.67% (rel 2/3) · n15 ×0.75 = 8.3
Earnings Headwind — ER in 29.272d · w1 med -7.0% (mag 3/3) · winRate 31.8% (rel 2/3) · n63
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.75 · low 1w×1.00 · vs industry
About Gevo Inc
Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable nat… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: February 9, 2011
Headquarters: Building C, Englewood, CO, United States, 80112
Founder-Led: Yes — Christopher Michael Ryan (President, Chief Operating Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$1.32
Market Cap
$334M
Float
227.6M
Shares Outstanding
247.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)
1.88
vs. Analyst Target
+292.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-119.93%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-76.79%
Revenue (TTM)
$178M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$5.17 (4 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$5.5M
-$40.2M
-$9.5M
-$32.2M
2021
$533,000
-$59.2M
-$7.2M
-$53.8M
2022
$1.2M
-$98.0M
-$7.5M
-$89.0M
2023
$17.2M
-$66.2M
$5.2M
-$45.0M
2024
$16.9M
-$78.6M
$4.9M
-$56.5M
2025
$161M
-$33.8M
$48.5M
$10.3M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$42.7M
-$8.0M
Dec 2025
$45.3M
-$6.3M
Mar 2026
$42.9M
-$21.7M
Jun 2026
$46.5M
-$177M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
4.5%
Institutional Ownership
38.7%
Short Float
11.4%
% of All Funds Holding
1.67%
Number of Funds Holding
147
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$1.53
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$1.77
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$1.72
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$1.48
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$1.76
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$1.69
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$1.45
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$1.30
support
1.76x
13 months ago
$0.80
support
1.50x
24 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (63 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.87%
-0.81%
36.51%
40.00%
-29.33%
1 Day
-2.53%
-4.00%
28.57%
59.20%
-32.00%
1 Week
-3.24%
-7.05%
31.75%
44.33%
-31.20%
2 Weeks
0.27%
-4.84%
39.68%
146.67%
-40.23%
1 Month
-4.68%
-9.12%
32.26%
96.23%
-59.90%
Next earnings: November 9, 2026 (28 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
6.5%
33.3%
15
Feb
-5.4%
20.0%
15
Mar
-4.0%
37.5%
16
Apr
-9.6%
12.5%
16
May
-1.0%
50.0%
16
Jun
-4.7%
37.5%
16
Jul
-5.4%
37.5%
16
Aug
10.3%
62.5%
16
Sep
-5.7%
37.5%
16
Oct
1.7%
46.7%
15
Nov
-0.9%
26.7%
15
Dec
-6.2%
33.3%
15
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.40%
42.6%
737
Tuesday
-0.08%
38.9%
809
Wednesday
-0.54%
39.5%
806
Thursday
0.23%
40.4%
793
Friday
0.07%
41.0%
790
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 38.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 4.5%
Founder-led management: Christopher Michael Ryan (President, Chief Operating Officer)
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