Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Gevo Inc
Gevo, Inc. operates as a carbon abatement company. It operates in four segments: Gevo, GevoFuels, GevoRNG, and GevoND. The company offers sustainable aviation fuel, motor fuels, and chemicals and materials; certain specialty fuels, on-road fuels, and certain products for the food chain comprising protein and feeds; hydrocarbons for gasoline, racing fuel blend stocks, and diesel fuel; ethylene and butenes; plastics and materials; and renewable nat… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: February 9, 2011
Headquarters: Building C, Englewood, CO, United States, 80112
Founder-Led: Yes — Christopher Michael Ryan (President, Chief Operating Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$1.90
Market Cap
$414M
Float
227.2M
Shares Outstanding
243.4M
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.37
vs. Analyst Target
+183.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-19.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-11.40%
Revenue (TTM)
$174M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$5.39 (3 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$5.5M
-$40.2M
-$9.5M
-$32.2M
2021
$533,000
-$59.2M
-$7.2M
-$53.8M
2022
$1.2M
-$98.0M
-$7.5M
-$89.0M
2023
$17.2M
-$66.2M
$5.2M
-$45.0M
2024
$16.9M
-$78.6M
$4.9M
-$56.5M
2025
$161M
-$33.8M
$48.5M
$6.5M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$43.4M
$2.1M
Sep 2025
$42.7M
-$8.0M
Dec 2025
$45.3M
-$6.3M
Mar 2026
$42.9M
-$21.7M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
4.1%
Institutional Ownership
36.9%
Short Float
12.5%
% of All Funds Holding
1.80%
Number of Funds Holding
148
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$1.95
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$2.04
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$1.77
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$1.58
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$2.05
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$1.79
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$1.46
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$1.80
support
1.18x
1 months ago
$1.30
support
1.76x
8 months ago
$0.80
support
1.50x
19 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (62 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-1.09%
-0.92%
35.48%
40.00%
-29.33%
1 Day
-2.72%
-4.13%
27.42%
59.20%
-32.00%
1 Week
-3.58%
-7.14%
30.65%
44.33%
-31.20%
2 Weeks
0.17%
-4.86%
38.71%
146.67%
-40.23%
1 Month
-4.33%
-8.44%
32.79%
96.23%
-59.90%
Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (57 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
6.5%
33.3%
15
Feb
-5.4%
20.0%
15
Mar
-4.0%
37.5%
16
Apr
-9.6%
12.5%
16
May
-0.9%
53.3%
15
Jun
-3.7%
40.0%
15
Jul
-5.6%
40.0%
15
Aug
10.2%
60.0%
15
Sep
-4.8%
40.0%
15
Oct
1.7%
46.7%
15
Nov
-0.9%
26.7%
15
Dec
-6.2%
33.3%
15
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.43%
42.8%
719
Tuesday
-0.09%
38.7%
791
Wednesday
-0.54%
39.4%
787
Thursday
0.22%
40.2%
774
Friday
0.09%
41.4%
773
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 36.9%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 4.1%
Founder-led management: Christopher Michael Ryan (President, Chief Operating Officer)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
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qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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