Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Aemetis Inc
Aemetis, Inc. operates as a renewable natural gas and renewable fuels company. The company operates through California Ethanol, California Dairy Renewable Natural Gas, and India Biodiesel segments. It engages in the operation, acquisition, development, and commercialization of low and negative carbon intensity products and technologies that replace fossil fuel products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: May 15, 2014
Headquarters: 20400 Stevens Creek Boulevard, Cupertino, CA, United States, 95014
Founder-Led: Yes — Eric A. McAfee (Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$2.51
Market Cap
$158M
Float
65.4M
Shares Outstanding
70.4M
P/E (Forward)
58.82
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.72
vs. Analyst Target
+442.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-33.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-11.60%
Revenue (TTM)
$220M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$13.63 (5 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$166M
-$36.7M
$11.0M
-$5.1M
2021
$212M
-$47.1M
$7.9M
-$21.6M
2022
$257M
-$108M
-$5.5M
-$79.7M
2023
$187M
-$46.4M
$2.0M
-$34.8M
2024
$268M
-$87.5M
-$580,000
-$49.8M
2025
$208M
-$77.0M
-$768,000
-$27.0M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$52.2M
-$23.4M
Sep 2025
$59.2M
-$23.7M
Dec 2025
$53.7M
-$5.3M
Mar 2026
$54.6M
-$21.7M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
7.1%
Institutional Ownership
18.3%
Short Float
7.8%
% of All Funds Holding
0.86%
Number of Funds Holding
71
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$2.72
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$2.13
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$2.22
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$3.60
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$2.18
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$2.27
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$3.20
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$3.10
resistance
1.26x
0 months ago
$1.50
support
1.89x
1 months ago
$1.30
support
1.38x
11 months ago
$5.90
resistance
1.13x
24 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.04%
0.00%
26.92%
60.00%
-20.90%
1 Day
0.16%
-1.41%
30.77%
60.00%
-19.44%
1 Week
-1.12%
-4.31%
30.77%
113.33%
-42.95%
2 Weeks
1.55%
-7.13%
38.46%
100.00%
-35.48%
1 Month
6.32%
-7.09%
37.66%
256.23%
-42.31%
Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (58 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
5.5%
45.0%
20
Feb
-1.5%
30.0%
20
Mar
26.5%
50.0%
20
Apr
-0.4%
30.0%
20
May
9.3%
36.8%
19
Jun
14.0%
47.4%
19
Jul
4.5%
50.0%
20
Aug
-1.9%
35.0%
20
Sep
3.4%
35.0%
20
Oct
7.1%
45.0%
20
Nov
-8.0%
20.0%
20
Dec
-4.0%
45.0%
20
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.28%
35.1%
939
Tuesday
0.12%
39.0%
1028
Wednesday
0.43%
38.3%
1028
Thursday
0.29%
39.6%
1008
Friday
1.15%
42.2%
1005
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 18.3%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 7.1%
Founder-led management: Eric A. McAfee (Co-Founder, Executive Chairman & CEO)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
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qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
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share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
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