RYAM — Rayonier Advanced Materials

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RYAM Bullish with a Setup Score of 64, net conviction 35, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score64
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction35
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Rayonier Advanced Materials

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. manufactures and sells cellulose specialty products in the United States, China, Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, Canada, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through Cellulose Specialties, Biomaterials, Cellulose Commodities, Paperboard, and High-Yield Pulp. The company's products include cellulose specialties, which are natural polymers that are used as raw materials to manufacture a range of consumer-ori… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.61
Market Cap$580M
Float54.4M
Shares Outstanding67.6M
P/E (Forward)27.55
Price/Sales (TTM)0.40
vs. Analyst Target+62.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.95%
Revenue (TTM)$1.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-70.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.34B $555,000 $63.4M $103M
2021 $1.41B $66.4M $74.7M $122M
2022 $1.72B -$14.9M $123M $177M
2023 $1.64B -$102M $88.2M $81.3M
2024 $1.63B -$39.0M $166M $174M
2025 $1.47B -$422M $119M $137M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $353M -$4.9M
Dec 2025 $418M -$21.5M
Mar 2026 $319M -$81.6M
Jun 2026 $376M -$33.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.0%
Institutional Ownership78.6%
Short Float8.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.11%
Number of Funds Holding186

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.29Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.20Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.17Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.80 support 1.48x 5 months ago
$6.00 support 1.43x 6 months ago
$5.60 support 1.29x 10 months ago
$3.80 support 1.47x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.32% -0.13% 46.94% 23.12% -40.00%
1 Day -0.16% -0.58% 48.98% 34.74% -40.60%
1 Week 0.98% -2.85% 44.90% 46.97% -49.40%
2 Weeks 1.68% -4.23% 42.86% 68.90% -48.46%
1 Month 5.41% -1.46% 43.75% 137.88% -54.17%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-2.7%41.7%12
Feb3.3%50.0%12
Mar-2.3%50.0%12
Apr-0.1%41.7%12
May-2.8%33.3%12
Jun-1.6%25.0%12
Jul2.5%61.5%13
Aug0.1%58.3%12
Sep1.9%58.3%12
Oct1.4%33.3%12
Nov18.2%66.7%12
Dec0.3%50.0%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 48.5% 575
Tuesday 0.00% 49.5% 632
Wednesday 0.12% 48.6% 629
Thursday -0.18% 45.8% 616
Friday 0.38% 50.1% 613

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-1,931
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
PALUMBO LISA M -$17,634.476 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 PALUMBO LISA M -$17,634.476 Transaction at $9.13, now -5.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Rayonier Advanced Materials (RYAM) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RYAM on Trend Edge →