DOW — Dow Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DOW Bearish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 33, actionability 68. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction33
Actionability68 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Dow Inc

Dow Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides various materials science solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer applications in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, India, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings segments. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$29.03
Market Cap$20.54B
Float719.0M
Shares Outstanding720.7M
P/E (Forward)9.87
Price/Sales (TTM)0.52
vs. Analyst Target+29.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-7.24%
Operating Margin (TTM)0.01%
Revenue (TTM)$39.33B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-73.30%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$37.44 (21 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $38.54B $1.23B $4.81B $5.54B
2021 $54.97B $6.31B $10.39B $11.68B
2022 $56.90B $4.58B $7.86B $9.50B
2023 $44.62B $589M $4.97B $4.00B
2024 $42.96B $1.12B $4.46B $5.25B
2025 $39.97B -$2.62B $2.40B $1.19B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.10B -$835M
Sep 2025 $9.97B $62.0M
Dec 2025 $9.46B -$1.54B
Mar 2026 $9.79B -$445M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership73.7%
Short Float4.3%
% of All Funds Holding15.03%
Number of Funds Holding1,235

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$30.21Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$30.37Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$43.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$30.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$41.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$44.00 resistance 1.64x 18 months ago
$49.00 resistance 1.59x 19 months ago
$54.00 resistance 1.05x 20 months ago
$57.00 resistance 1.11x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.19% 0.11% 55.17% 2.14% -5.34%
1 Day -0.64% -0.23% 48.28% 4.32% -7.52%
1 Week -0.43% 0.08% 51.72% 17.01% -13.08%
2 Weeks 0.26% -0.44% 44.83% 19.62% -15.36%
1 Month 1.73% 0.61% 53.57% 19.07% -18.91%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (10 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%42.9%7
Feb1.5%42.9%7
Mar2.1%57.1%7
Apr2.5%37.5%8
May-4.5%50.0%8
Jun-5.3%37.5%8
Jul-0.4%57.1%7
Aug-0.6%42.9%7
Sep-2.4%42.9%7
Oct-0.8%42.9%7
Nov3.7%57.1%7
Dec0.6%57.1%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 48.8% 344
Tuesday 0.23% 52.8% 379
Wednesday -0.03% 47.2% 375
Thursday -0.15% 46.7% 368
Friday -0.03% 48.4% 366

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 73.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings26
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-55,810
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings26
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fitterling James R Chair and CEO -$306,396.08 1 1 sell
Wilson Amy E General Counsel / Secretary -$172,248.52 2 2 sell
Bryant Lisa Chief Human Resources Officer -$91,177.62 2 2 sell
SAMPSON JOHN MAURICE Senior Vice President -$90,178.4 1 1 sell
Argenton Andre Chief Tech & Sustainability -$46,973.06 2 4 sell
Lange Philo Brendy President, Perf Mat & Coatings -$18,567.9 1 1 sell
Dominowski Andrea L Controller and Vice President -$8,431.8 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-02 – 2025-12-02 7 7 -$129,887.1 7 C-suite
2026-02-11 – 2026-02-11 9 9 -$560,052.64 9 C-suite
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-02 8 8 -$413,995.4 8 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-02 Argenton Andre Chief Tech & Sustainability -$23,650.9 Transaction at $29.90, now -2.9%
2026-02-11 Argenton Andre Chief Tech & Sustainability -$23,322.16 Transaction at $32.08, now -9.5%
2026-03-02 Bryant Lisa Chief Human Resources Officer -$52,713.7 Transaction at $29.90, now -2.9%
2026-02-11 Bryant Lisa Chief Human Resources Officer -$38,463.92 Transaction at $32.08, now -9.5%
2026-03-02 Wilson Amy E General Counsel / Secretary -$111,168.2 Transaction at $29.90, now -2.9%
2026-03-02 SAMPSON JOHN MAURICE Senior Vice President -$90,178.4 Transaction at $29.90, now -2.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Dow Inc (DOW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DOW on Trend Edge →