OLN — Olin Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OLN Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 41, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Olin Corporation

Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and India Middle East, Africa, India, Latin America, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls; Epoxy; and Winchester. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment offers chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomers, methyl chloride, methylene chlo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$20.68
Market Cap$2.30B
Float113.2M
Shares Outstanding114.0M
P/E (Forward)42.74
Price/Sales (TTM)0.34
vs. Analyst Target+29.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-4.15%
Revenue (TTM)$6.72B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-97.50%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$26.71 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.76B -$970M $383M $549M
2021 $8.91B $1.30B $2.29B $2.49B
2022 $9.38B $1.33B $2.18B $2.43B
2023 $6.83B $460M $6.83B $42.9M
2024 $6.54B $109M $738M $874M
2025 $6.78B -$42.8M $502M $624M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.76B -$1.3M
Sep 2025 $1.71B $43.0M
Dec 2025 $1.67B -$85.7M
Mar 2026 $1.58B -$83.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership106.0%
Short Float13.4%
% of All Funds Holding4.75%
Number of Funds Holding390

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.72Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$40.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$23.34Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.74Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$36.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.80 resistance 1.18x 0 months ago
$18.60 support 1.24x 10 months ago
$34.00 resistance 1.10x 17 months ago
$42.00 resistance 1.54x 18 months ago
$47.00 resistance 1.21x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.88% 0.00% 41.46% 7.74% -28.98%
1 Day -0.58% 0.30% 51.22% 10.80% -20.55%
1 Week 0.18% 0.35% 53.66% 19.04% -18.57%
2 Weeks 0.06% -0.41% 47.97% 20.81% -19.00%
1 Month 1.23% 1.38% 54.10% 36.99% -36.65%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (17 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%43.1%51
Feb2.4%60.8%51
Mar2.4%60.8%51
Apr2.2%51.0%51
May-0.9%39.2%51
Jun-0.5%45.1%51
Jul-0.5%42.0%50
Aug0.2%58.0%50
Sep-1.3%52.0%50
Oct-0.7%42.0%50
Nov3.4%60.0%50
Dec2.2%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.2% 2390
Tuesday 0.02% 45.7% 2592
Wednesday 0.04% 47.4% 2593
Thursday 0.05% 47.1% 2543
Friday 0.08% 46.4% 2528

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$850,838.341
Net Shares Change13,498
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Slater Todd A VP & CFO -$861,753.375 1 1 sell
Ehrhardt Marc VP & Pres Corp Development +$373,956 1 1 buy
Carter Deon VP & President CAPV -$154,225.5 1 1 sell
VERMILLION TERESA M VP & Treasurer -$82,522.2 2 2 sell
Castle Angela M VP & Chief Legal Officer -$81,862.241 1 1 sell
Sumner R Nichole VP & Controller -$44,431.025 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-07 Ehrhardt Marc VP & Pres Corp Development +$373,956 Transaction at $18.70, now +10.6%
2026-02-25 Carter Deon VP & President CAPV -$154,225.5 Transaction at $23.73, now -12.8%
2026-02-24 Castle Angela M VP & Chief Legal Officer -$81,862.241 Transaction at $24.17, now -14.4%
2026-02-05 Sumner R Nichole VP & Controller -$44,431.025 Transaction at $17.82, now +16.1%
2026-02-05 Slater Todd A VP & CFO -$861,753.375 Transaction at $17.81, now +16.1%
2025-11-28 VERMILLION TERESA M VP & Treasurer -$34,720.2 Transaction at $17.00, now +21.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Olin Corporation (OLN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OLN on Trend Edge →