OLN — Olin Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates OLN Bearish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 29, actionability 21. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction29
Actionability21 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Olin Corporation

Olin Corporation manufactures and distributes chemical products in the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Africa, and India Middle East, Africa, India, Latin America, and Canada. It operates through three segments: Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls; Epoxy; and Winchester. The Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment offers chlorine and caustic soda, ethylene dichloride and vinyl chloride monomers, methyl chloride, methylene chlo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.89
Market Cap$1.78B
Float107.6M
Shares Outstanding114.0M
P/E (Forward)25.77
Price/Sales (TTM)0.27
vs. Analyst Target+35.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.94%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.03%
Revenue (TTM)$6.70B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-97.50%
Dividend Rate0.8%
Analyst Target Price$20.20 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $5.76B -$970M $383M $549M
2021 $8.91B $1.30B $2.29B $2.49B
2022 $9.38B $1.33B $2.18B $2.43B
2023 $6.83B $460M $6.83B $42.9M
2024 $6.54B $109M $738M $874M
2025 $6.78B -$42.8M $502M $624M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.71B $43.0M
Dec 2025 $1.67B -$85.7M
Mar 2026 $1.58B -$83.0M
Jun 2026 $1.74B -$13.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership107.3%
Short Float10.7%
% of All Funds Holding4.66%
Number of Funds Holding410

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$22.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$22.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$37.86Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.64Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.60Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$25.80 resistance 1.14x 3 months ago
$34.00 resistance 1.10x 20 months ago
$42.00 resistance 1.54x 21 months ago
$47.00 resistance 1.21x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.94% 0.00% 41.13% 7.74% -28.98%
1 Day -0.71% 0.20% 50.81% 10.80% -20.55%
1 Week 0.04% 0.29% 53.23% 19.04% -18.57%
2 Weeks -0.05% -0.43% 47.58% 20.81% -19.00%
1 Month 1.13% 1.36% 53.66% 36.99% -36.65%

Next earnings: October 26, 2026 (14 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%43.1%51
Feb2.4%60.8%51
Mar2.4%60.8%51
Apr2.2%51.0%51
May-0.9%39.2%51
Jun-0.5%45.1%51
Jul-0.6%41.2%51
Aug0.1%56.9%51
Sep-1.5%51.0%51
Oct-0.7%42.0%50
Nov3.4%60.0%50
Dec2.2%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 46.2% 2402
Tuesday 0.02% 45.8% 2605
Wednesday 0.05% 47.5% 2606
Thursday 0.05% 47.0% 2556
Friday 0.07% 46.4% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 107.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$1.2M
Net Shares Change-6,502
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Slater Todd A VP & CFO -$861,753.375 1 1 sell
Carter Deon VP & President CAPV -$154,225.5 1 1 sell
Castle Angela M VP & Chief Legal Officer -$81,862.241 1 1 sell
Sumner R Nichole VP & Controller -$44,431.025 1 1 sell
VERMILLION TERESA M VP & Treasurer -$34,720.2 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-25 Carter Deon VP & President CAPV -$154,225.5 Transaction at $23.73, now -37.2%
2026-02-24 Castle Angela M VP & Chief Legal Officer -$81,862.241 Transaction at $24.17, now -38.4%
2026-02-05 Sumner R Nichole VP & Controller -$44,431.025 Transaction at $17.82, now -16.4%
2026-02-05 Slater Todd A VP & CFO -$861,753.375 Transaction at $17.81, now -16.4%
2025-11-28 VERMILLION TERESA M VP & Treasurer -$34,720.2 Transaction at $17.00, now -12.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Olin Corporation (OLN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for OLN on Trend Edge →