RPAY — Repay Holdings Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates RPAY Bearish with a Setup Score of 45, net conviction 21, actionability 97. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score45
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction21
Actionability97 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Repay Holdings Corp

Repay Holdings Corporation, a payments technology company, provides integrated payment processing solutions that enables consumers and businesses to make payments using electronic payment methods in the United States. It operates through two segments: Consumer Payments and Business Payments. The company offers payment acceptance solutions, such as debit and credit card processing, automated clearing house (ACH) processing, e-cash, and digital wal… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.84
Market Cap$340M
Float42.3M
Shares Outstanding82.9M
P/E (Forward)4.19
Price/Sales (TTM)1.01
vs. Analyst Target+78.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-49.57%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.23%
Revenue (TTM)$338M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.85 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $155M -$106M $114M $26.3M
2021 $219M -$50.1M $164M $35.3M
2022 $279M $12.8M $214M $127M
2023 $297M -$110M $227M $58.5M
2024 $313M -$10.2M $241M $101M
2025 $309M -$257M $232M -$161M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $77.7M -$6.4M
Dec 2025 $78.6M -$140M
Mar 2026 $80.8M -$9.9M
Jun 2026 $101M -$11.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.2%
Institutional Ownership100.8%
Short Float9.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.58%
Number of Funds Holding139

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.90Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.51Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.62Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.55Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.48Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.60 support 2.13x 3 months ago
$4.20 resistance 1.10x 8 months ago
$5.10 resistance 1.02x 9 months ago
$9.60 resistance 1.58x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.07% -0.10% 48.48% 33.56% -19.58%
1 Day 1.61% 0.29% 51.52% 50.68% -20.85%
1 Week 1.17% 0.29% 51.52% 79.68% -24.40%
2 Weeks 2.84% 0.71% 53.13% 89.27% -22.39%
1 Month 4.05% 0.98% 59.38% 81.05% -33.81%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%37.5%8
Feb-3.2%37.5%8
Mar-6.3%25.0%8
Apr2.3%37.5%8
May5.4%62.5%8
Jun7.0%87.5%8
Jul0.5%62.5%8
Aug0.6%62.5%8
Sep-7.4%25.0%8
Oct-8.4%25.0%8
Nov4.9%75.0%8
Dec5.0%75.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 47.8% 383
Tuesday 0.11% 47.3% 419
Wednesday -0.09% 46.5% 417
Thursday -0.08% 45.5% 409
Friday 0.13% 46.8% 408

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.2%

Founder-led management: John Morris (Chief Executive Officer, Co-Founder & Director), Shaler Alias (President, Co-Founder & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$155,407.65
Net Shares Change882,826
% of Float2.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Forager Fund, L.P. +$2.3M 3 1 buy
Moore Jacob Hamilton Executive Vice President -$155,407.65 1 1 sell
THORNBURGH RICHARD E -$15,750 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-10 Forager Fund, L.P. +$6.6M Transaction at $2.65, now +44.8%
2025-09-16 Moore Jacob Hamilton Executive Vice President -$155,407.65 Transaction at $5.89, now -34.8%
2025-11-19 THORNBURGH RICHARD E -$15,750 Transaction at $3.50, now +9.7%
2026-04-03 Forager Fund, L.P. -$2.4M Transaction at $2.54, now +51.5%
2026-03-27 Forager Fund, L.P. -$1.9M Transaction at $3.01, now +27.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Repay Holdings Corp (RPAY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RPAY on Trend Edge →