RLI — RLI Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About RLI Corp

RLI Corp., an insurance holding company, provides property, casualty, and surety insurance products. Its Casualty segment provides commercial excess, personal umbrella, general liability, transportation, and management liability coverages; professional liability and workers' compensation for office-based professional coverages; commercial automobile liability and physical damage insurance to local, intermediate and long haul truckers, public tran… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$52.05
Market Cap$4.87B
Float81.7M
Shares Outstanding91.9M
P/E (Forward)19.16
P/E (TTM)12.36
Price/Sales (TTM)2.57
vs. Analyst Target+11.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin20.81%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.94%
Revenue (TTM)$1.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.20%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$57.75 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $988M $157M $308M $205M
2021 $1.18B $279M $460M $359M
2022 $1.70B $583M $732M $737M
2023 $1.51B $305M $391M $393M
2024 $1.77B $346M $455M $442M
2025 $1.88B $403M $561M $530M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $500M $124M
Sep 2025 $509M $125M
Dec 2025 $466M $91.2M
Mar 2026 $424M $54.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership90.1%
Short Float6.4%
% of All Funds Holding4.83%
Number of Funds Holding397

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$54.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$60.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$67.97Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$68.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$59.92Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$68.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$69.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$56.00 resistance 1.06x 0 months ago
$61.00 resistance 1.04x 1 months ago
$63.00 resistance 1.43x 3 months ago
$64.00 resistance 1.38x 6 months ago
$72.00 resistance 1.82x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.09% 0.01% 50.00% 7.01% -9.26%
1 Day 0.22% 0.23% 52.46% 14.33% -12.00%
1 Week 0.11% 0.14% 51.64% 12.29% -18.60%
2 Weeks 0.49% -0.03% 50.00% 17.45% -19.28%
1 Month 1.75% 1.61% 59.50% 18.30% -13.90%

Next earnings: July 11, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%50.0%46
Feb3.0%60.9%46
Mar1.1%58.7%46
Apr0.3%40.4%47
May1.2%54.3%46
Jun0.9%52.2%46
Jul1.3%54.3%46
Aug-0.1%54.3%46
Sep0.1%47.8%46
Oct1.8%63.0%46
Nov2.8%60.9%46
Dec2.7%67.4%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 42.8% 2200
Tuesday 0.12% 45.8% 2389
Wednesday 0.01% 42.0% 2386
Thursday 0.06% 43.0% 2340
Friday 0.10% 42.9% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 90.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$977,520
Net Shares Change17,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kliethermes Craig W CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER +$547,250 2 2 buy
Klobnak Jennifer L CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER +$430,270 3 3 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Kliethermes Craig W CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER +$260,000 Transaction at $52.00, now +0.1%
2026-05-19 Klobnak Jennifer L CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER +$106,840 Transaction at $53.42, now -2.6%
2026-01-23 Klobnak Jennifer L CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER +$115,980 Transaction at $57.99, now -10.2%
2026-01-23 Kliethermes Craig W CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER +$287,250 Transaction at $57.45, now -9.4%
2025-07-24 Klobnak Jennifer L CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER +$207,450 Transaction at $69.15, now -24.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for RLI Corp (RLI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for RLI on Trend Edge →