Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Riley Exploration Permian Inc
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in Texas and New Mexico. Its acreage is primarily located on contiguous blocks in Yoakum County, Texas; and oil and natural gas properties in the Yeso trend of the Permian Basin in Eddy County, New Mexico. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas E&P
Exchange: NYSE MKT
IPO Date: December 28, 1998
Headquarters: 29 E. Reno Avenue, Oklahoma City, OK, United States, 73104
Founder-Led: Yes — Bobby D. Riley (Chairman, CEO & President)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$35.12
Market Cap
$844M
Float
16.3M
Shares Outstanding
21.7M
P/E (Forward)
6.22
P/E (TTM)
13.55
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.22
vs. Analyst Target
+39.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
15.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)
38.35%
Revenue (TTM)
$403M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
686.00%
Dividend Rate
1.6%
Analyst Target Price
$49.00 (2 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$3.0M
-$3.6M
-$710,000
-$3.0M
2021
$151M
-$65.7M
$93.9M
-$4.2M
2022
$322M
$118M
$237M
$183M
2023
$375M
$112M
$221M
$253M
2024
$410M
$88.9M
$234M
$224M
2025
$392M
$161M
$182M
$234M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$85.4M
$30.5M
Sep 2025
$107M
$16.3M
Dec 2025
$97.3M
$85.4M
Mar 2026
$114M
-$70.4M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
18.8%
Institutional Ownership
65.0%
Short Float
4.3%
% of All Funds Holding
1.89%
Number of Funds Holding
155
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$36.23
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$29.96
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$29.65
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$29.73
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$30.08
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$29.56
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$30.10
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$30.00
support
2.78x
1 months ago
$26.00
support
1.12x
8 months ago
$24.10
support
1.09x
25 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (95 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.16%
0.00%
38.95%
12.70%
-8.70%
1 Day
-0.25%
0.00%
36.84%
41.27%
-15.88%
1 Week
1.75%
-1.72%
37.89%
117.95%
-20.86%
2 Weeks
3.60%
0.00%
47.37%
107.69%
-37.61%
1 Month
3.00%
-2.92%
44.68%
127.16%
-35.59%
Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (58 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
15.0%
67.9%
28
Feb
-3.4%
39.3%
28
Mar
3.7%
53.6%
28
Apr
3.0%
50.0%
28
May
-2.7%
33.3%
27
Jun
5.6%
48.1%
27
Jul
0.1%
51.9%
27
Aug
-1.9%
29.6%
27
Sep
0.5%
55.6%
27
Oct
1.4%
37.0%
27
Nov
-5.9%
29.6%
27
Dec
-0.1%
37.0%
27
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.22%
40.5%
1292
Tuesday
-0.05%
39.4%
1416
Wednesday
0.19%
38.8%
1415
Thursday
0.02%
40.3%
1388
Friday
0.36%
41.7%
1382
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 65.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 18.8%
Founder-led management: Bobby D. Riley (Chairman, CEO & President)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Riley Exploration Permian Inc
(REPX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.