PSNY — Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates PSNY Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 65, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction65
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS

Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC engages in the research and development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles in Europe, North America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, and internationally. The company offers battery electric vehicles, including Polestar 2 (PS2); Polestar 3 (PS3); Polestar 4 (PS4); Polestar 5 (PS5); and Polestar 6 (PS6), a roadster. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.96
Market Cap$2.96B
Float41.7M
Shares Outstanding143.9M
Price/Sales (TTM)0.96
vs. Analyst Target-2.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-77.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)-32.34%
Revenue (TTM)$3.06B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$17.50 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $610M -$485M $56.5M -$227M
2021 $1.34B -$1.01B $11.1M -$716M
2022 $2.44B -$479M $119M -$230M
2023 $2.37B -$1.18B -$410M N/A
2024 $2.03B -$2.05B -$876M -$1.67B
2025 $3.06B -$2.36B -$1.08B -$1.93B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2024 $564M -$323M
Mar 2025 $711M -$597M
Jun 2025 $711M -$597M
Mar 2026 $633M -$383M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership69.2%
Institutional Ownership19.2%
Short Float5.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.86%
Number of Funds Holding71

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.26Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.44Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$62.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.13Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$45.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.40 support 1.62x 4 months ago
$25.00 resistance 1.81x 7 months ago
$40.00 resistance 1.01x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.98% 0.15% 57.89% 17.17% -7.92%
1 Day -1.02% -1.45% 26.32% 16.39% -14.54%
1 Week -2.86% -5.07% 31.58% 38.90% -26.46%
2 Weeks -5.56% -3.21% 21.05% 32.15% -30.56%
1 Month -13.60% -12.91% 31.58% 7.83% -36.99%

Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (6 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.14% 45.6% 239
Tuesday -0.24% 43.6% 266
Wednesday -0.36% 44.5% 265
Thursday -0.34% 42.6% 258
Friday 0.38% 45.9% 259

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 19.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 69.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$74,460.586
Net Shares Change18,596
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Vahland Winfried +$233,824 2 2 buy
Shen Xiaojie +$42,167.16 1 1 buy
Neumann Karl-Thomas +$34,012.37 1 1 buy
Zhang Quan (Joe) +$30,090 1 1 buy
Gamboni Francesca Paola Leandra +$30,010.04 1 1 buy
Dubin Cynthia S +$26,418 1 1 buy
Rudensjo Anna Elin Margareta Chief Legal Officer -$24,525.489 1 N/A
Gorjanc Christine Marie +$18,415.74 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-29 – 2026-04-29 5 5 -$74,460.586 5 C-suite
2026-07-01 – 2026-07-06 7 7 +$282,813.31

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-06 Dubin Cynthia S +$26,418 Transaction at $20.72, now -13.3%
2026-07-02 Zhang Quan (Joe) +$30,090 Transaction at $17.70, now +1.5%
2026-07-02 Gorjanc Christine Marie +$18,415.74 Transaction at $18.83, now -4.6%
2026-07-02 Gamboni Francesca Paola Leandra +$30,010.04 Transaction at $17.56, now +2.3%
2026-07-01 Vahland Winfried +$101,700 Transaction at $16.95, now +6.0%
2026-07-01 Shen Xiaojie +$42,167.16 Transaction at $17.31, now +3.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class A ADS (PSNY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for PSNY on Trend Edge →