TSLA — Tesla Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Tesla Inc

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$440.36
Market Cap$1.57T
Float2.82B
Shares Outstanding3.76B
P/E (Forward)200.00
P/E (TTM)383.35
Price/Sales (TTM)16.03
vs. Analyst Target-6.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.95%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.20%
Revenue (TTM)$97.88B
Earnings Growth (YoY)8.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$411.89 (47 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $31.54B $721M $6.63B $4.22B
2021 $53.82B $5.64B $13.61B $9.60B
2022 $81.46B $12.59B $20.85B $17.83B
2023 $96.77B $14.97B $17.66B $14.80B
2024 $97.69B $7.13B $17.45B $14.71B
2025 $94.83B $3.79B $17.09B $11.76B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $22.50B $1.17B
Sep 2025 $28.09B $1.37B
Dec 2025 $24.90B $840M
Mar 2026 $22.39B $491M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.1%
Institutional Ownership44.9%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding47.56%
Number of Funds Holding3,909

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$395.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$415.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$373.44Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$278.83Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$414.17Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$367.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$292.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$281.00 support 1.09x 11 months ago
$253.00 support 1.06x 17 months ago
$202.00 support 1.32x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (64 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.03% -0.39% 45.31% 14.99% -12.44%
1 Day 0.66% -0.04% 50.00% 19.20% -14.51%
1 Week 0.88% 0.55% 54.69% 43.23% -21.55%
2 Weeks 3.69% 3.79% 65.63% 64.23% -31.50%
1 Month 5.31% 1.40% 54.69% 80.17% -27.22%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.5%56.3%16
Feb1.0%43.8%16
Mar-1.2%43.8%16
Apr5.9%62.5%16
May6.1%46.7%15
Jun9.0%73.3%15
Jul3.9%50.0%16
Aug6.0%50.0%16
Sep2.3%43.8%16
Oct2.5%37.5%16
Nov10.6%68.8%16
Dec1.0%62.5%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.56% 54.4% 748
Tuesday 0.29% 51.6% 823
Wednesday 0.19% 52.4% 820
Thursday -0.00% 49.7% 805
Friday 0.01% 50.2% 804

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.1%

Founder-led management: Elon Musk (Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value+$979M
Net Shares Change-93,419,861
% of Float-3.3%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Musk Elon CEO +$1.00B 2 1 buy, 1 sell
Musk Kimbal -$25.6M 1 1 sell
Wilson-Thompson Kathleen -$19.5M 2 N/A
Zhu Xiaotong SVP, APAC and -$7.3M 1 1 sell
Taneja Vaibhav Chief Financial Officer -$3.7M 4 4 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-05-29 – 2025-06-09 4 3 -$186M 2 C-suite
2025-09-12 – 2025-09-17 3 3 +$967M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-23 Musk Elon CEO +N/A N/A
2026-03-09 Taneja Vaibhav Chief Financial Officer -$899,076.7 Transaction at $397.03, now +10.9%
2025-09-15 Musk Elon CEO +$1.00B Transaction at $389.28, now +13.1%
2025-12-09 Taneja Vaibhav Chief Financial Officer -$1.2M Transaction at $443.93, now -0.8%
2025-09-12 Zhu Xiaotong SVP, APAC and -$7.3M Transaction at $363.75, now +21.1%
2025-06-09 Taneja Vaibhav Chief Financial Officer -$732,573.26 Transaction at $285.71, now +54.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Tesla Inc (TSLA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TSLA on Trend Edge →