NIO — Nio Inc Class A ADR

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Nio Inc Class A ADR

NIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China, Europe, and internationally. It offers five and six-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company also offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery-swapping service; Power Charger and Destination Charger; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.75
Market Cap$13.14B
Float1.89B
Shares Outstanding2.36B
P/E (Forward)384.62
Price/Sales (TTM)0.13
vs. Analyst Target+17.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.09%
Operating Margin (TTM)-1.21%
Revenue (TTM)$100.99B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$6.74 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $16.26B -$5.61B $1.87B -$3.33B
2021 $36.14B -$10.57B $6.82B -$985M
2022 $49.27B -$14.56B $5.14B -$10.05B
2023 $55.62B -$21.15B $3.05B -$15.15B
2024 $65.73B -$22.66B $6.49B -$13.93B
2025 $85.10B -$14.55B $11.59B -$14.37B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $19.01B -$5.14B
Sep 2025 $21.79B -$3.66B
Dec 2025 $34.17B $280M
Mar 2026 $34.17B $280M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership26.1%
Short Float7.1%
% of All Funds Holding5.05%
Number of Funds Holding415

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.50 support 1.38x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (31 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.02% 0.00% 48.39% 4.66% -6.79%
1 Day 0.55% -0.73% 48.39% 11.80% -9.75%
1 Week 0.89% -0.22% 46.67% 50.00% -29.25%
2 Weeks 1.40% -0.01% 50.00% 71.61% -36.25%
1 Month 6.36% 2.21% 53.33% 98.74% -36.25%

Next earnings: August 9, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.4%37.5%8
Feb-0.6%62.5%8
Mar-13.2%25.0%8
Apr-1.1%62.5%8
May-3.1%42.9%7
Jun20.4%57.1%7
Jul24.6%71.4%7
Aug2.8%42.9%7
Sep1.2%42.9%7
Oct-6.8%25.0%8
Nov18.4%50.0%8
Dec3.5%25.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.68% 49.3% 363
Tuesday 0.52% 51.4% 399
Wednesday -0.00% 47.1% 395
Thursday -0.01% 47.4% 388
Friday -0.51% 42.7% 389

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 26.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Founder-led management: William Li (Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Nio Inc Class A ADR (NIO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for NIO on Trend Edge →